Surf's Special Situation Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by marketsurfer, Aug 4, 2012.

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  1. cornix

    cornix

    Yes I understand. Meant more letting the fund fade by like 50% though. That's quite a hit.
     
    #1631     Nov 5, 2012
  2. It's simply a part of the fund manager's DNA and how he decides to run a fund. No question, he could have bankrupted the fund had the market continue to go against him after a -50% move.
     
    #1632     Nov 5, 2012
  3. cornix

    cornix

    Yea, apparently fund manager mentality is often different from the mentality of a trader trading for him/herself.
     
    #1633     Nov 5, 2012
  4. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    I didn't realize the original Bloomberg article was from 2008. Here is a newer one from January:

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...eap-47-sowing-bet-on-china-copper-market.html

    "Volatile Metals Fund

    Red Kite Metals surged 188 percent in 2006 on the back of a global commodities boom, according to investors. It then plunged 50 percent in 2007, rebounded with a 19.8 percent rise in 2008, then fell 0.9 percent in 2009 and 25 percent more in 2010, when Red Kite’s bet that copper would decline proved premature.
    Clients fled the metals fund, reducing assets to $200 million as of November, investors say."

    This year he was betting on copper falling. Copper went sideways with 2 big runups, so I don't think this year's performance is good...He had other funds with better performances:

    " Its $400 million Red Kite Compass Fund tops Bloomberg Markets’ ranking of midsize hedge funds for the first 10 months of 2011, with a return of 47 percent, according to investors."
     
    #1634     Nov 5, 2012
  5. Exactly, the reasons provided by wiz and others, are exactly why fundees like farmer are influential and wealthy from trading very unlike the retail player. Put simply, these guys embrace risk while most others shun it ( stops, etc). If you want a job that is inherently risky and teaches nothing, keep doing what the books teach. If you want to be rich, you need to take big risks and learn from what the folks who have made it do, not what they say.
     
    #1635     Nov 5, 2012
  6. cornix

    cornix

    I think retail traders blow up because of taking too much risk pretty often too. Those who use tight stops probably have even smaller chance of blowing up.

    Maybe fund managers are different that they risk OPM mostly and are willing to risk more for that reason?
     
    #1636     Nov 5, 2012
  7. That's part of it, but if they lose clients as in the case of Farmer, they lose fee income as well. Maybe Surf can explain how the Red Lite funds were charging their clients. It does appear that it was easy to redeem funds from Farmer....as that is not always the case with hedge funds.
     
    #1637     Nov 5, 2012

  8. I'm trying to stay positive for a Romney win. I soured on politics after raising $$ at events at my old house on north spring mill in Villanova--- then being snubbed once I didn't own the big house--- bunch of bozos for the most part-- unfortunate, but true.
     
    #1638     Nov 5, 2012
  9. So much for "land of the free, home of the brave".
    Today: "land of the rich, home of the politicians"
     
    #1639     Nov 5, 2012
  10. I know there was a year lock up, so we couldn't bail despite seeing the loss. It was a 2/20 split of which I recd XX% for capital introductions
     
    #1640     Nov 5, 2012
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