I may be wrong, but here is the evidence, note hoodooman and fibIcarus post the same thing, to the word--- http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=252390&perpage=6&pagenumber=1
Yes, China is the big play here with the red metal. Can China make-up for the lost demand from weaker economies ? That's the $65,000 question.
I simply don't have an understanding of it--- i tend to avoid instruments I can't get my mind around completely. BY the way, after we closed out RK, MF rebounded something like 75%--- just terrible timing--
Well Surf, I'm not sure if Farmer is still short copper, but today was another weak day....it broke 3.50 basis=december 2012 contract. 3.40 is looming large as the bulls last hope for support. Otherwise, this thing is gonna break 3.0. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3668923#post3668923 Still, I am expecting a post-election euphoria rally in equities that MIGHT boost the metal. However, it appears the China weakness theme is in vogue and causing a deflationary spiral in this commodity and maybe others as well.
He is the big fish in the pond-- I'll try to get in touch with him next week to see if they will share any color.... surf