Surf's Special Situation Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by marketsurfer, Aug 4, 2012.

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  1. I won't, except for a very very small sample of systems. If you want to draw conclusions off a very small sample size go right ahead :p

     
    #1471     Oct 29, 2012
  2. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Rasky, haven't YOU heard? A stop degraded my student's performance today, caused his only losing trade :D
     
    #1472     Oct 29, 2012
  3. The fact that the OP uses a mere 3 systems as evidence to draw conclusions about ALL systems shows just how little he knows about the trading world. His behavior on some of these topics is just baffling.
     
    #1473     Oct 29, 2012
  4. 100% true. Almost every system I created and backtested exhibited this very characteristic. Except for high frequency trading, mechanical stops cause a much lower average win amount per trade. I came to the conclusion that systematic entries are OK, but that humans are much better at stop placement. Perhaps, it's because the software has no "feel" for the market or the charts.
     
    #1474     Oct 29, 2012
  5. If you are talking about "feel" for the mkt or charts than what you've created was not OBJECTIVE.

     
    #1475     Oct 29, 2012
  6. Thanks wiz--- yeah, its not just your experience but every system trader that I know experience, plus all the academic testing shows this to be true--- Only the "masters" on elite argue this point-- these folks are obviously naive or just jerking my chain with these posts. If not, its a sad case of self delusion.

    surf
     
    #1476     Oct 29, 2012
  7. Did you not read his post? Read his last sentence...his systems are NOT OBJECTIVE

     
    #1477     Oct 29, 2012
  8. This is how TA doesn't work... You see something on the 4HR USDJPY chart expect it to work out and then it doesn't... Why did this pattern fail...?

    [​IMG]
     
    #1478     Oct 29, 2012
  9. Same thing only on the 1hr chart... Why did this fail...?

    I guess one man's bear flag is another man's double bottom...? Right...!?

    So how do you decide between the two in an objective way that doesn't involve plain dumb luck...?
     
    #1479     Oct 29, 2012
  10. You had 5 trades which reached your minimum target of 20 ticks between 8:40 & 10:30 when there was only a range of 70 ticks?

    That is some incredible trading if I understand correcly.

    I see 3 pretty obvious setups which would've given you 20, but I'm not sure about 5 of them................but, I ain't got the skillz just yet. :)
     
    #1480     Oct 29, 2012
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