Supachai warns of global recession

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by S2007S, Nov 17, 2006.

  1. S2007S


    Hanoi (dpa) - The United States' massive current account deficit could lead to a "deep-seated and prolonged" recession if Asia and Europe don't work to reverse the trend, the former head of the World Trade Organization (WTO) warned on Friday.

    "If the deficit of the US is reduced drastically, it will mean there will be a long effect on the global economy," said Supachai Panichpakdi, the former head of the WTO and current director general of UNCTAD. "That is something we don't want to see happen."

    Supachai, addressing the Apec CEO Summit in Hanoi, warned that the US's current account deficit of an estimated 840 billion dollars this year posed a threat to the world economy, which has enjoyed unprecedented growth for the past five years, especially in the dynamic Asia-Pacific region which now accounts for half the world's trade and nearly half the world's foreign direct investments.

    "I don't think the world should be relying only on the health of the US economy, which is spending more than it saves, to drive forward the global economy," warned Supachai, who added that Asia and Europe would need to do more to sustain growth in the future.

    "In Asia, for example, we may need to support domestic consumption, whereas in the developed economies they may need to save more," said the former WTO chief.

    "Otherwise, left alone, there will come a day when deflation will hit the world economy and the recession will be quite deep-seated and prolonged," he warned.

    Economists worry that a slowdown in consumption in the developed economies such as the US's, combined with excessive production at low costs in Asia, could lead to a downward cycle of deflation that would slow world growth.

    Supachai made his comments at the Apec CEO meeting, an annual forum held on the sidelines of the Apec leaders summits that will be hosted this year by Hanoi on Saturday and Sunday.

    The summit will draw 21 Asia and American leaders to Hanoi, including US President George W Bush, who arrived on Friday.

    This year's summit is expected to focus on garnering support for efforts to restart the stalled Doha Round of trade talks and winning regional backing for efforts to bolster alternative energy initiatives.

    Current WTO chief Pascal Lamy attended Apec's ministerial meetings on Wednesday and Thursday.

    "Despite the fact that Doha is under threat of failing, I don't think the global community, or the Apec community which is so pro-trade, can afford to stand by and let the round go down the drain," said Supachai.
  2. I never heard of that hero.... Super Chai...

    what are his powers? Save the economist, save the world...
  3. If people in those other countries listened to him, we'd be much wealthier in the U.S., and we'd see a bull market in U.S. equities like no one could imagine.
  4. there is no doubt the u.s's excess will catch up to it. however, trying to time the demise for the purposes of capitalistic gain are very tough. these types of healdines, if you are old enough to remember, which i am (said with a quiver in my voice and tear in my eye) have been around for twenty years. the us seems to be able to avoid relaity on these fronts somehow... it has caught up to them on there currency - but hasnt yet affected the average american...
  5. Jim Rogers on one of those shows on Fox just this AM predicts recession end of 2007....

    Jim Rogers bets heavily in China...and has been quoted in the past, saying that Asia is the Future...

    he rides around China in his bow tie on a Harley
  6. S2007S


    saw the same thing this morning, he seems to be the only one on that show that talks some kind of sense.
  7. Banjo