When it starts throwing fits (i.e. 1/23 outside reversal, etc...) you're getting close but picking the peak is an act of futility. Just know where the trend system guys put their stops, figure 3-4 atr's under the contract high and try to front run them. The floor is going to have a field day when it eventually does snowball. As copied from "sugar anyone" Erlewine's comments are as good as any I could come up with. I've been watching closely but no more than 2 lower closes for a long time ; )
I thought August 2005 was "the top" be careful what you ask for, this may just be the beginning hope you are long, not short!