strike on iraq

Discussion in 'Politics' started by ElCubano, Sep 6, 2002.

  1. Hmm, International coalition? For a moment let's be REEEEAL serious. Which country do we speak of here? Who is going to provide their twelve token planes and twenty six tanks that we will probably have to arrange to get shipped to the battle arena (stock purchase in UPS perhaps? could FedEx overnight 'em?).

    Whose international hospital ship do we need to wait for? Honestly now. Just as you are concerned about the fiscal cost of war for us, so too are these other superpowers that you are concerned about. Did you ever consider that part of the hesitancy is that these other countries that you desire to have assist, might not be able to afford sending anything or anyone. Last time I checked, Russian soldiers were still waiting for past paychecks.

    Obviously Russians pride themselves on income. Take a look at their beauty pageant winner, she passed on all the accolades of the contest to go back to Russia for a $150 month police officers salary. While some of these other countries (that you are waiting for) possess technological capacity, it still takes good old hard currency to get them to the frontline.

    Now let's talk cost of loss. While we are not happy when we lose hardware, they really CAN'T afford to lose hardware. If they only have forty or fifty planes at the high end of the fighting spectrum, and they are worried about their own country protection, it seems to me that they would not be too happy about committing their resources to ANY battle that was not in their yard. Please make sure you factor that consideration into any calculations.

    Here's another point. We lost a stealth fighter or two in the last skirmish. It was an expensive loss, but it was doing its job. A job that it has proven itself capable of in other actual battles. Most of these other so-called supertechnologies of the other countries work, in theory and on paper. They are not battle tested. That too speaks volumes in the eagerness for committal. No so much as Sadam seeing the ability, but more like America looking at the flaws up close and personal like.

    Notice too that the countries that you are concerned about ARE the ones who are supposedly on par with America from a hardware capability basis. Know that their military advisors are truly not too interested in having their latest military pet $$ over-run project shot down with the equivalent of a BB gun in Iraq. So don't put too much weight into their foot dragging as their disagreement with our mission. Back up and look at the larger picture here to find some of the real reasons. :)
     
    #691     Oct 4, 2002
  2. vvv

    vvv

    well, remember the gulf war. don't hold me to the exact figure here, but if i remember correctly we only paid about 5% of the bill, the rest was carried by our allies.

    that's serious money we managed to save, but even though the costs were widely spread we entered into a recession.

    as for alliances themselves and the necessity of building them, no country can afford to play goliath against many other davids and hope to get away with that indefinitely, or even operate outside of intl. law and reserve the right to initiate preemptive strikes on others without a clear mandate from the world community, a mandate that we had during the gulf war. but going it alone this time without a mandate and against severe reservations of many of the countries that were fully behind us during the gulf war cannot work in an interdependent world with a global economy without eventually backfiring on us with a vengeance. we shouldn't abolish a time honored principle of intl. relations, or any civilized democratic country, for that matter, that all actions and decisions need to be based on law and law alone, ie in this specific case, international law, and the roots of that found in the peace treaty of westphalia from 1648.

    if we were to decide that all that's needed to go to war is any government just making unsubstantiated claims about certain dangers posed by other governments, we would have created a world where each country reserves the right to determine when other countries pose a threat sufficient to warrant an invasion. the preemptive strike doctrine not only runs counter to international law; it eliminates international law completely.

    additionally we have this:

    quote:
    But the central point is that any campaign against Iraq, whatever the strategy, cost and risks, is certain to divert us for some indefinite period from our war on terrorism.

    Worse, there is a virtual consensus in the world against an attack on Iraq at this time.

    So long as that sentiment persists, it would require the U.S. to pursue a virtual go-it-alone strategy against Iraq, making any military operations correspondingly more difficult and expensive.

    The most serious cost, however, would be to the war on terrorism. Ignoring that clear sentiment would result in a serious degradation in international cooperation with us against terrorism. And make no mistake, we simply cannot win that war without enthusiastic international cooperation, especially on intelligence.

    Possibly the most dire consequences would be the effect in the region. The shared view in the region is that Iraq is principally an obsession of the U.S. The obsession of the region, however, is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. If we were seen to be turning our backs on that bitter conflict--which the region, rightly or wrongly, perceives to be clearly within our power to resolve--in order to go after Iraq, there would be an explosion of outrage against us. We would be seen as ignoring a key interest of the Muslim world in order to satisfy what is seen to be a narrow American interest. unquote


    http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110002133

    that really is the question: do we want to take down an admittedly extremely nasty dictator whom we built up, just because all of a sudden we change our mind about him, who is no serious threat to the usa at this time nor to his neighbors, or do we want to focus on a really important task, do sthg. effective against terrorism and it's causes.

    cheers
     
    #692     Oct 4, 2002
  3.  
    #693     Oct 4, 2002
  4. vvv

    vvv

     
    #694     Oct 4, 2002
  5. rs7

    rs7

    Max and Dotslasch, (and others)

    Thanks for helping me realize how much time I have wasted here. I have obviously wasted my breath and learned not a single thing except that there are far too many uninformed instigators that have not a single thought to express or the ability to look at two sides of any issue.

    I am embarrassed for the USA that we have so many like you. So many that look only to fight (with the bodies of others) and argue just for the sake of argument.

    You have contributed nothing but ill will and nastiness. Name calling and childish behavior.

    I came on ET with the hope of learning from others about trading. I contributed with good intent quite a bit of my time and energy trying to share what I thought was of value. I have received essentially nothing of value in return. I took a lot of criticism on the board for trying to be helpful. I also received many very kind and thankful private messages. But I have run out of time for any more. I think I said pretty much all I had to say that could be of benefit in a universal way.

    So I wish you all well. The guys that actually trade, and even the guys that just lurk and make an occasional post. But it saddens me that there are just so many narrow minded and hate filled souls frequenting this board.

    I used to look strictly at the "trading threads". I stopped when I realized how so many had "secrets" that they were afraid to share. At that point, I knew that there was no value for me in those threads. Then the "chit chat" threads became an interesting diversion. But no more. Too many fanatics. Too much cut and paste. No real content. Nothing but childishness.

    It was fun for a while. Now it no longer holds any interest for me.

    So Dotslash, I hope you get to see all the blood that will satisfy your needs. Max, I hope you feel great about yourself and have satisfied your every curiosity. Thunderbolt, I hope you get to heaven and are not too lonely in your very exclusive existence there. Traderfut2000 I hope that something in the world will make you happy. Aphie, I hope you get to trade. Gordon Gekko, I hope you learn to read and write soon. Publias, MrSub and the other "good guys" ... I wish you all well. I will miss your humor and your insights.

    Peace,
    Rs7
     
    #695     Oct 4, 2002
  6. vvv

    vvv

    rs7, i sincerely hope that you are not serious about leaving. you were fighting a war you very rightly never wanted to fight at a time when i was still in school, a choice i thankfully never had to make, and i'm very serious and also extremely grateful that i never had to make a choice about that at a very young and impressionable age, and i have full respect for all that unlike me had to go through that, no matter how they decided when the time had come. and, god knows what very many if not most of you have been through who did go, i suppose anybody who didn't go will never be able to fully understand the real horrors of it all.

    when henry ford said history was "bunkum", and was critizised for that, i think he was always misinterpreted. i don't believe he meant history as such - how can you mean history itself, after all -, he just meant the seeming absolute inability of humans to learn anything from what transpired earlier.

    unfortunately, hatred, vengeance and a desire for revenge or blood or even just some "action", never minding the consequences as long as you're not personally and directly involved, and no matter really whom it's directed at, leading to a vicious cycle serving no one, are just facts of life, as history shows so clearly, but maybe they are just the one side of the coin, on the other side you have decency and altruism and a good understanding of causes and consequences, maybe there can not be one without the other, which is not to say one should just accept all the bad things happening, but rather one should try and keep doing what one can do to try and improve things just a little bit. and i for one am very grateful for what you've written here and how you've shared your experiences. i think it would be very sad if you were to now take all you have to share and all your experiences with you and leave, just because you've encountered what is inevitable, sooner or later, namely the other side of the coin.

    i sure hope you'll not pack up, but rather just accept the inevitable, and accept that it's a constant struggle to fight against that, and stay.

    best regards,

    vvv
     
    #696     Oct 4, 2002
  7. Rs7,

    I understand how you feel. If anyone has taken a bunch of shit (maybe some of it deserved) on this board, it has definately been me. However, don't let other people upset you. I hung around because I realized that when everything is said and done, what matters most is what you think and not what others think about you.

    99% of the people on this board have never met the other 99% in person. We're all just faceless traders (and paper traders). However, I think your posts are great and it would be a real tragedy to this board if you decided to leave.

    At the very least, you should hang around in case you happen to learn something. As for all the other people who don't have a clue -- don't let them bring you down. You are your own man and what other people think -- let them worry about their thoughts. You just keep doing your thing because the better half here enjoy your contributions.


    Ps: Just remember to tune the bullshit out. Don't let other people's egos get to you. Trust me -- there are some huge egos on this board. You know what I say? F*** 'em.

     
    #697     Oct 4, 2002
  8.  
    #698     Oct 4, 2002
  9. TigerO

    TigerO

     
    #699     Oct 4, 2002
  10. TigerO

    TigerO

    Heck, we got plenty to take care of ourselves before going of on extremely expensive, putting it mildly, fruitcake adventures around the world where we will be the only ones paying the bill, because we are the only ones sufficiently versed in the fine art of twisting facts and subsequently actually believing them ourselves, so as to be able to pretend to instill objective madness with alleged subjective reason, anyway.


    What more you want, my gungho buddy anxious for a dumb war, we aint in no position to go pissing 300 billion down the drain for zilch, and some guys who've been there and have done that see zero reason for us to go on a total fruitcake adventure nobody else in the world is dumb enough to fall for:

    ==========
    A War Waiting for a Pretext
    A Persian Gulf War POW accuses the United States and Britain of being hypocritical about Saddam

    http://www.msnbc.com/news/814085.asp?cp1=1
    ==========

    Colonel David Hackworth author of his new best-selling "Steel My Soldiers' Hearts," "Price of Honor" and "About Face," has seen duty or reported as a sailor, soldier and military correspondent in nearly a dozen wars and conflicts – from the end of World War II to the recent fights against international terrorism.

    Defending America: Will Congress blink again?
    History has repeatedly shown that the military solution is the least-desirable way to resolve conflict. Smart leaders know that "supreme excellence consists in breaking the enemy's resistance without fighting" – as Sun Tzu wrote years ago – and exhaust all other options before they unleash the dogs of war.

    Instead, our president seems single-mindedly obsessed with attacking Iraq.
    continued:
    http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=29035

    ==============

    Brent Scowcroft, the former National Security Advisor, says a U.S. invasion of Iraq "could turn the whole region into a cauldron and, thus, destroy the war on terrorism."

    Henry Kissinger says, "The notion of justified pre- emption runs counter to modern international law, which sanctions the use of force in self-defense only against actual -- not potential -- threats." Kissinger also says, "American military intervention in Iraq would be supported only grudgingly, if at all, by most European allies."

    Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE) says the CIA has "absolutely no evidence" that Iraq possesses or will soon possess nuclear weapons.

    Dick Armey, the House (Republican) Majority Leader, says, "I don't believe that America will justifiably make an unprovoked attack on another nation." He also says, "It would not be consistent with what we have been as a nation or what we should be as a nation."

    http://www.moveon.org/nowar/

    Heck, even the fruitcake numero uno, Pat Buchanan, is against a war against Saddam.
     
    #700     Oct 4, 2002