Stock Trader's Almanac: How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market

Discussion in 'Economics' started by HeSaidSheSaid, Nov 13, 2019.

  1. from Stock trader's Almanac, since 1833, the Dow Jones industrial average has gained
    •an average of 10.4% in the year before a presidential election,
    • and nearly 6%, on average, in the election year.
    •By contrast, the first and second years of a president’s term see average gains of 2.5% and 4.2%, respectively.

    long term bond is disengaging from short term bond. bond traders considered themselves smarter than stock traders, then if that is true, we're not going to have recession any time soon even we re having a full moon right now (gravitational pull is not going to make traders go berserk).
     
    piezoe likes this.
  2. S2007S

    S2007S

    So basically the market is immune to any drops.


    Zero risk all reward all the time.
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  3. ON the DOW?? Dream on.Sounds like they are mostly right Stock Traders Almanac; but also they noted a sell in May, SPY QQQ related ; 20/20 hindsight. LOL [ NOT a prediction; but IF they buy TSLA, LOL they may buy anything]:D:D,:D:D:D:D:D
     
  4. so it was you who took the market up today :) or Mr. Turtle Murray? [do you know turtle can live up to 200 years? but your house is your shell. you move, your house moves with you. Your food tends to be faster than you are, and if you flip on your back, life could be a struggle) :)
    upload_2019-11-13_19-25-0.png
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. %%
    Good points.
    LOL I seldom have a back problem- I stopped watching the lone ranger years ago. As far as the silence of the turtles, OK, but some of them still write LOL:D:D, :D:D:D:D:D:D