Stock repair strategy

Discussion in 'Options' started by wxytrader, Aug 3, 2024.

  1. MARA 16.95
    1000 shares @ 22.25
    Total loss: 5300


    Stock repair strategy
    10 17C @ 2.18
    20 20C @ .89
    Total debit: -400

    Results if price goes to 19.83 @ expiry:

    10 calls = 19.83-17 =2.83 -2.18=.65*10*100=650
    20 short calls = 1780
    Stock increase = 19.83-16.95 =2.88 * 1000 = 2880

    Total: 2880+1780+650=5310
    Recovery complete!
    upload_2024-8-5_20-22-19.png

    But I am getting different results on option creator
     
    #21     Aug 5, 2024
  2. traider

    traider

    what if it goes to 0?
     
    #22     Aug 6, 2024
  3. Both our models agree on the ratio spread:

    upload_2024-8-6_5-28-19.png

    upload_2024-8-6_5-28-48.png



    So if we put it together with the stock position we should get:

    MARA 16.05
    Avg price: 22.25
    Loss to recover: -5300
    @ 20 price has increased $3.05 x 1000 = 3050 + 2600 (ratio spread) = 5650
    So my position recovers just under $20 as my spreadsheet shows.

    upload_2024-8-6_6-1-14.png



    Option creator has the position recovering @ 20 (popup) but it doesn't match with the chart..Also, doesn't the position max out at the short call strike which is your MAX profits?


    upload_2024-8-6_5-54-25.png


    If I hover over 20.32 its showing a -1702 loss????
    Here have a go: https://optioncreator.com/stt24oo

    upload_2024-8-6_6-9-51.png
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2024
    #23     Aug 6, 2024
  4. poopy

    poopy

    Wrong
     
    #24     Aug 6, 2024
  5. I know but where? If you look at the ratio spread as a separate position then both models agree @ 2600 when price expires @ 20, and the stock recovers 3050. ???

    If you use the ratio spread math its: higher strike - lower strike + debit/credit + lower strike.

    so 20-17=3+-.40+17=19.60 break even on the spread.
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2024
    #25     Aug 6, 2024
  6. "Downside protection is not considered with a stock repair."

    It carries no added risk as you should be able to open at a credit. Same as just holding a long position...it only improves your break even.
     
    #26     Aug 6, 2024
  7. poopy

    poopy


    Gamma risk to D1? It's only shares.
     
    #27     Aug 6, 2024
  8. There is no added risk if you can open for a credit..but probably not with the spread. Here you could open 17/20 for a $-180 debit...lowering the the break even from 22.25 to 19.72...according to my sheet.

    The price really jumps around on the ratio spread...from .11 to .50!

    upload_2024-8-6_6-44-31.png
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2024
    #28     Aug 6, 2024
  9. Breakeven for Ratio Call Spread
    • As Net Credit = Higher Strike Price + Difference in strike + Net Premium Received.
    • As net Debit = there will be two breaks even. Upper Breakeven = Higher Strike Price – Difference in strike + Net Premium paid.
    • Lower Breakeven = Lower Strike + Net premium Paid.

    if the ratio spread is: 17/20 @ a debit of -.18

    Higher break even: 3+-.18=2.82+20=22.82
    Lower break even: 17+-.18=16.82

    You can see my spreadsheet aligns with the math!


    upload_2024-8-6_7-22-31.png

    Option creator confirms it!

    upload_2024-8-6_7-25-7.png

    So all we have to do is add the ratio spread gains to the stock position gains... right?
     
    #29     Aug 6, 2024
  10. poopy

    poopy

    Tao's idea to short the backspread is a good one. Maybe post an expiration next time? I'd did think any of you have posted a date.

    I'd solve for a date allowing for zero outlay which is probably achievable with the following week's series.
     
    #30     Aug 6, 2024