Still No Evidence of a Stock Market Crash (video)

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by krugman25, Apr 27, 2021.

  1. krugman25

    krugman25 Guest

    I'm going to keep this simple. If you respond with a snarky or sarcastic comment then you're getting instablocked. I'm here for discussion and ideas. I don't have time to waste on trolls.

    @Nobert , you're the first to go.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 27, 2021
    #11     Apr 27, 2021
  2. Nobert

    Nobert

    Thank you.
     
    #12     Apr 27, 2021
    NoahA likes this.
  3. krugman25

    krugman25 Guest

    He trades his own money. I've been following him since way before he had a big following. He's a quant and puts out some of the best and most unique analysis of anyone else I've followed over the years.
     
    #13     Apr 27, 2021
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Ok.
     
    #14     Apr 27, 2021
  5. destriero

    destriero

    This is why people follow TA. ET wouldn't exist without survivorship bias and hindsight analysis.
     
    #15     Apr 27, 2021
  6. krugman25

    krugman25 Guest

    I think there's survivorship bias in FA as well. How many peoples FA failed them and we will never hear from them, or FA worked really well 1 time (buy or sell side) and now they are crowned king of TA/FA and are regular financial network guests. That being said, there's some methods I like and some I don't. Non-bubble regression as a DCA methodology is one I particularly like.

    If we're being fair, Ben has been forward testing his methodology for years because he was using this type of quantitative analysis long before now.
     
    #16     Apr 27, 2021
  7. longshort

    longshort

    How about a one year return of +1,466.09%. Sounds good? Here you go:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/IBVC:IND

    Except that you're probably down in real terms. Pricing stocks in printed paper currency can be delusive.

    SPY still down since end of 2004 when priced in GLD. Current value is 2.50.

    SPYinGLD.png
     
    #17     Apr 27, 2021


  8. LOL!
     
    #18     Apr 27, 2021
    Nobert likes this.
  9. krugman25

    krugman25 Guest

    Do that but price it in Bitcoin. You won't even need to start way back in 2004. Start it in 2012. Or Ethereum, and start in 2016. ;)
     
    #19     Apr 27, 2021
    SunTrader likes this.
  10. krugman25

    krugman25 Guest

    [​IMG]
     
    #20     Apr 27, 2021