The need to do NYC the hardest hit and first. Test matches what I'm seeing, what I've been saying for ages the real death rate is. Also the test would show negative if they still had the virus and hadnt built immúnity to it yet, which 14days or 3 weeks without symptoms can double that aswell. Oxford studies in the UK agree with this aswell london area ≥90% rest of uk ≥80% infected, lag so within next 10days hospital admissions and therefore tested positive should start to drop. Only way china wouldn't have a 2nd spike but there deaths 300k to 1mil if so mind.
In this study they tested for both types of antibodies, short term ones which the body produces immediately when infected and long term ones, which produced a bit later but last much longer. They only found 50 positive people out of 3,300 for either type of anti body.
The whole country is not New York, new york city is just 3% of the country. The rest of the country is probably more like Stanford than it is New York. Just 1.5% infection rate.
Colorado had the same sort of infection rate last week. Just 8 out 950 people tested positive for antibodies in Colorado. With another 23 might be/unsure positives. If you say half of the 23 'might bes' were real postives. It would be a total of 20 out 955. Or 2% infected already in Colorado.
LOGIC your supposed to be a coder. NYC is in a later extent of the virus therefore you'll get a more meaningful result, not about representative, that's pointless. And appears to be over the Peak more importantly. The Peak doesn't happen at 10%, because 10% will become 50% pretty quickly, the peaks happens 60-80% area, where there are less and less people to infect. LOGIC!!!
So all countries that have already peaked have seen 60 to 80% infections? I dont think so. South Korea peaked in Mid March when deaths were at 75 people, not daily deaths of 75. But 75 in total across the whole country. Norway daily new cases peaked when the death count was around 60 The peak depends on how good the country/city is at locking down the virus and then keeping it contained when lock downs are lifted.
No a peak, isn't defined by when the deaths / infections stops because of some BS lockdown. SK haven't peaked, they've fought it killed it and it'll be back. 60-80% ish, have to get it for a peak, those that it'll kill it'll kill, more if no treatment. Lockdowns merely slow the inevitable, someone will travel, bring it and it'll be back. SK didn't lock down, they tested and tested and found everyone with and isolated, unless they keep doing that for years to come, utterly pointless. Although they can use the new treatment all being well and reduce the deaths while letting it burn by 98% so all is good.
Until an efficient cure is found for all age groups this virus will keep on hurting the economy and society in several ways. China is already seeing the second wave of infections plus earlier patients are also getting reinfected. Vaccine might help a little but not long term. Early 2000s was Sars1, then 2008-2009 was Swine FLu and now Sars2 Covid. MERS, NIPAH and others also had their innings. Seems early 5-10 years viruses are hitting the societies. One cure I see is the nanobot pills which can be given after getting the RNA/DNA of the virus. This sequence can be obtained within few hours. Then within few hours nanobots are formulated and in few days at most the body will be cleaned out of the intruders by the nanobots.
Pretty sure Nanobots are just scifi still cause I'd of heard if not, we can't engineer something that small and program and control. Ahhhh Nano Particles, same size to confuse is something there working on, but bots would require control and crazy small.