Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Futures Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Dec 30, 2006.

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  1. dkm

    dkm

    Spyder
    Thank you for your responses. Having mistaken this RTL BO as a change of dominant (see attached clip) and entered short on the conclusion that this was an FT3, I wish to confirm what my correct thought process should have been after the close of the 13:35 bar, bearing in mind that I am trying to remain at the "tree level".

    I see the 13:40 bar form a sym pennant. I anticipate bo on increasing vol. The 13:45 bar gives the bo but on decreasing vol. I conclude that we now have a lateral and begin my wait for a bo on increasing vol. This occurs at 14:03, at which point I should reverse to long. Is this correct?

    Although I fully understand your second comment regarding looking at ym only when ES is at or near its LTL/RTL, many ftt's occur when ES is in mid channel (by definition). I have assumed that it is also appropriate to refer to ym when one suspects an ftt. Have I misunderstood?

    Thanks
     
    #7001     Oct 29, 2007
  2. Pepe

    Pepe

    Hi Spyder,

    I was analyzing what usually happens inside a Lateral, and I have one question.

    Usually inside a Lateral we have decreasing volume, and when this happens we wait for the BO of lateral with Incr volume. No problem here.

    But what if we have Increasing volume inside a Lateral and we get for instance a R2R ?

    Is one supposed to enter inside a lateral if trading tree level?

    Should we disregard volume at all when inside a Lateral and wait patiently for the Lateral BO ?

    Here is one example of what I am talking about:

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1658045>
     
    #7002     Oct 29, 2007
  3. This week trading calendar....:)
     
    #7003     Oct 29, 2007
  4. My read on the ES this morning... Comments?
     
    #7004     Oct 29, 2007
  5. Good luck with this one Pepe. I've been trying to understand this for months. When I asked I was more or less called a fool for my inability to follow directions. I hope you have more success with what seems like a pretty basic, yet unanswered question.

    Over and over we are told that this or that only happens once in a blue moon. However, when you total up all the this or thats (things like inside bars with higher volume, bars that create two different types of laterals simultaneously, etc) they comprise a significant portion of the day's bars. Combine this with the myriad of contradictions which have cropped up over the months (don't tell me there are none, I have proven one with overwhelming evidence and was attacked and pointed out a couple others) and it's no wonder some of us are struggling and have to keep asking the same questions over and over.

    Just look at what Dkm is posting recently. How is what he asking different in principal than much of what I've been blamed for in this thread?
     
    #7005     Oct 29, 2007
  6. First attempt at pennants and laterals today. Does this look anywhere near reasonable?
     
    #7006     Oct 29, 2007
  7. The rising volume didnt break out of the lateral did it (4125 being the top of the lat)? Personally, if we dont BO of the lateral on rising volume, then I see that nothing really significant happened to change anything. Sure this rising volume could lead to a BO and we should pay attention for that.

    In this case, we actually BO on the bottom part (3700) level on increased RED volume, and this break leads to lower prices.

    This is just how I see it.

     
    #7007     Oct 29, 2007
  8. gman... through my eyes, I see us in one big lateral since 10:15.
     
    #7008     Oct 29, 2007
  9. Precisely, so what difference does the volume even make? Decreasing... no change. Increasing... no change.
     
    #7009     Oct 29, 2007
  10. :eek:
     
    #7010     Oct 29, 2007
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