mark1, thanks for your response. Did you use Stocktables for the float culling? - I can't seem to locate it on the site.. Besides the stuff accessible on ST, I use Yahoo Finance to cull for 65-days volume, positive EPS and float. I am still using the beginner level-tools, but Bruno-R is one of the things I'm looking into Thanks again.
Yesterday, thinking about the stocks in the FU and their behavior (they go up and down , more up than down, with a lot of Volatility...doh!), I wanted to test an "old" system I used during the Nasdaq bubble. It is basically a dip buyer, very similar to those you can find in Wealth lab developed by Geol. Now unfortunately , the script is in my home in Italy (I'm in Thailand ATM), so I had to use the original DipBuyer-V6. Anyway the results are quite interesting I used 1 year of data for the current FU, last three month have been the best for the period. 0,5% one way slippage commission 0.005 per share Pos. Sizing 20% of equity Long Starting Capital $35,000.00 Ending Capital $70,476.26 Net Profit $35,476.26 Net Profit % 101.36% Annualized Gain % 101.75% Exposure 28.77% Number of Trades 114 Avg Profit/Loss $311.20 Avg Profit/Loss % 3.42% Avg Bars Held 3.32 Winning Trades 99 Winning % 86.84% Gross Profit $58,696.46 Avg Profit $592.89 Avg Profit % 6.46% Avg Bars Held 2.15 Max Consecutive 24 Losing Trades 15 Losing % 13.16% Gross Loss $-23,220.20 Avg Loss $-1,548.01 Avg Loss % -16.63% Avg Bars Held 11.00 Max Consecutive 2 Max Drawdown $-13,265.61 Max Drawdown % -25.73% Max Drawdown Date 3/13/2007 Wealth-Lab Score 262.63 Profit Factor 2.53 Recovery Factor 2.67 Payoff Ratio 0.39 Sharpe Ratio 2.54 Ulcer Index 6.03 Wealth-Lab Error Term 4.98 Wealth-Lab Reward Ratio 20.45 Luck Coefficient 8.18 Pessimistic Rate of Return 1.83 Equity Drop Ratio 0.07 Now before we got all excited if someone has an historic list of the stocks that entered and exited the FU, I can backtest a more reliable set of data. Anyway I think this stuff's got great potential and may add an interesting weapon to our arsenal. I'm going to back and forward test , all my bottom buyers sys for sure. Hope my English is clear
Nice work there Spydertrader. Attached is the way I see PRXI's chart. I was just wondering what you think of those indicators. Looking forward to your response. Ares
Hi Spydertrader, I'm new to your journal. Your PRXI trade was great. Should I go long on PRXI tomorrow 06/06 also considering the uptrend. Please advise.
Go here and start reading. Don't take a trade until you've internalized that, and have begun the journal here. -Au
I have several indicators on my posted Equities Charts in an effort to allow those individuals, still using the indicators, to be able to follow the sequences which lead to Price improvement. Once a trader reaches the intermediate or advanced level with respect to trading The Hershey Equities Methods outlined in the Three Journals, I recommend focusing on Price and Volume (in addition to Channels and Gaussians). Rather than looking to indicators for the generation of Buy and / or Sell signals, monitor a list of Equities for the signals of continuation or the signals for change. Clearly, the indicators on my original PRXI Chart did not provide any clues to the last two days of Price appreciation. Maybe there is something to this P-V Relationship thing after all. - Spydertrader
Thanks for your response Spy. My suspicion has just been confirmed. You mainly base your decision on price and volume (for us that are less skilled) and not on the indicators. A good example was with PRXI. The slow stochastics were on overbought territory yet price continued to go up. Looking forward to learning more from you. Ares