2005-04-22, Friday - Update Our system failed to generate any signals today as actual volume failed to exceed and levels of calculated Dry Up Volume (pro-rata or otherwise) prior to 11:30 AM. As a result, I took no action (long or short) with respect to trading any of today's Watch List stocks. Unfortunately, my decision to hold MFLX overnight failed to yield expected results. Opening price action on MFLX jumped right past our stop. Fortunately, price moved up slightly from the initial lows permitting a sale for a wash trade. The resulting sale of all shares yields .05 per share gross profit ($75.00 USD). 04/22/05 09:44:34 19.81 19.81 19.89 1500 Although disappointed that I gave back several hundred dollars in unrealized profit, the big lesson learned here: When receiving conflicting signals, get out of the trade. Enjoy the weekend. - Spydertrader
Wealth-Lab Update Based on the work submitted by Acelist, I have created two new Chartscript Scans, and updated the Dry Up Volume Range Chartscript to Version 2.0.2 The first Chartscript: Hershey Equities Rank SCAN v.1.0.0 is designed to be used as a scan against an initial sort of stocks from the Stocktables.com web site, Qcharts or any other initial universe. By creating a Watch List on the Wealth-Lab.com web site (containing an initial sorting of stocks from the previously mentioned sources), The Chartscript Scan will return a list of equities that have rank eliminating those without rank. You can use this Chartscript with the stocktables.com initial sort (100 or so stocks) and update your Watch List daily by downloading the data from stocktables.com in excel format - then using copy and past - update your Watch List each day. The Chartscript does not scan for Fundamental Criteria such as Float, EPS or 65-Day Average Volume. The Second Chartscript: Hershey Equities Dry Up Volume Scan v.1.0.0 is designed to create a list of stocks where their current actual volume levels place them "In Dry Up." This scan uses the "Dry Up Volume Range" method for Dry Up Volume Calculation where actual volume levels less than calculated "High Band" Dry Up Volume equates to a stock being "In Dry Up." This scan should be used against any list of Ranked Equities - such as Hot List, Final Universe List or any other such list you desire. Neither of the above two Chartscript Scans are designed to test individual equities. They do work on individual equities, but all charting functions have been removed in order to speed up the scanning process. Individuals with a desire to test individual equities, and utilize the chart functions should see the Third Chartscript: Hershey Equities Rank v.2.0.2 This updated version of The Hershey Chartscript fixes several bugs evident in the previous version, and uses Three Standard Deviations to obtain 99.7% of the available Dry Up Volume Data. All three Chartscripts linked above work in Wealth-Lab Developer, and I have attached the files required for those interested parties using the program. Again, I appreciate the efforts of Acelist, SRVZ, Slubeznik, Vorzo, Max Gainz and many others who's work and ideas contributed to these upgrades. I hope you find the above information useful. - Spydertrader
I'm not sure how pertinent this is but I've tried using your Wealth-Lab script and for me the version 1 editions work fine. However all the version 2 scripts seem to cause my system to hang when they try to analyze a handful of particular stocks. Has anyone else experienced this problem? I'm thinking that perhaps my data for these picky stocks is corrupt but maybe someone else has a better explanation?
In order to make sure I understand you correctly, do you use the Wealth-Lab web site or Wealth Lab Developer? Also, do the stocks for which you seek analysis contain a six month data history? Lastly, when you refer to the "Version Two" Chartscripts, do you mean the 'scans' or the Chartscripts with full charting capability? - Spydertrader Edit: If you would like to PM me the symbols you use, I'll test them on my system as well.
Third Wealth-Lab Chartscript Scan I have added one additional scan to The Jack Hershey Equities Family of scans available at the Wealth-Lab.com web site. Using Jack's PVAD binary scoring algorithm, The Hershey Equities Score Scan v.1.0.0 quickly scores all stocks contained in a Watch List. Designed for use with the additional two scans mentioned above, this scan saves time during the Universe Culling process. This Third Chartscript linked above works in Wealth-Lab Developer, and I have attached the file required for those interested parties using the program. Again, I appreciate the efforts of Acesheet (sorry for the mistype of your handle in earlier posts), SRVZ, Mark, Slubeznik, Vorzo, Max Gainz and many others - who's previous efforts and ideas contributed to this additional scan. - Spydertrader
2005-04-25, Monday - Lists I used RS Setting of 90 and EPS Setting of 80 for the following lists Stocktables.com Sevens - Ones - Zeros SSNC - ADSK - AAPL FORD - CDIS - MFLX ULTI - TOPT - DHC AMHC - CELG - VLCCF PGIC - XTO - MACR PARL - MCRI - PTEN ISSC - NXTP - BUCY SNHY - CMTL - PRGS MDRX - KOSP - HUM MACR - ANTP - VMSI Wealth-Lab Chartscript/Manual Hotlist ANTP FORD SNHY MFLX MCRI PARL Wealth-Lab Data/Yahoo Data Watch List DCAI - DU Cycle TASR - DU Cycle TRGL - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20 EXM - DU Cycle SIGM - DU Cycle EZPW - DU Cycle GDP - DU Cycle TOPT - DU Cycle Wealth-Lab Developer Data & Equations/G33M4K Equations SRVZ Wealth Lab Equations - Dry Up (with G33M4K Score) No Qualified Stocks Eyeball Gallas2 "Keep an Eye on These" Stocks GDP (Attached) Yahoo Data/G33M4K Equations Dry Up Stocks with G33M4K Master List Score of Zero TASR TRGL SIGM GDP TOPT Wealth-Lab DU Volume Range - Hershey V2.0.2 / QCharts Data Dry Up Stocks and G33M4K Master List Score EXM - 0 EZPW - 5 TOPT - 0 TRGL - 0 Stocktables Sort/Qcharts/Hershey PVAD Binary Score/ Test Culling Method with Score Hotlist DCAI - 2 ELOS - 2 FORD - 7 GDP - 2 MCRI - 0 MFLX - 0 PARL - 5 SNDA - 7 TOPT - 0 TRGL - 7 USG - 0 XXIA - 5 LCBM, CUTR & MSB fell from the Final Universe List due to insufficient Average Daily Volume. FRD fell from the Final Universe List due to insufficient Float. ANTP & SNHY failed to make the Final Universe List due to insufficient float. The following Stocks have been DELETED to the Final Universe List as of 2005-04-25 due to failure to maintain rank:CALM, CMN, FFIV, PMTI, SINA, SPTN. <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=735611>
MIPS fell from the Final Universe List due to Failure to Maintain Rank. The Final Universe now contains the following 23 equities: BCSI COGT DCAI ELOS EXM EZPW FORD GDP HANS JUPM MCRI MFLX PARL SGTL SIGM SNDA SYNA TASR TOPT TRGL UBET USG XXIA - Spydertrader
Wealth-Lab Chartscript Culling Methodology The following Methodology describes how to use the new Chartscript Scans for culling stocks from an initial universe. The methods described below require additional testing and analysis before using the signals generated for actual trading. However, interested individuals should feel free to comment on the usefulness and/or accuracy of the methods. We begin each day with our Final Universe List currently comprised of 23 equities: BCSI COGT DCAI ELOS EXM EZPW FORD GDP HANS JUPM MCRI MFLX PARL SGTL SIGM SNDA SYNA TASR TOPT TRGL UBET USG XXIA We then need to determine if any additional equities qualify for inclusion into our Final Universe List for the current trading day. To accomplish this task, we head over to the Stocktables.com Web Site and begin the initial culling process. Using the Stocktables.com Method described by Jack Hershey, we create an 'initial sort' of stocks using the following criteria: Rel Str (RS) Rank: 90 EPS Rank: 80 Minimum Price $10.00 Maximum Price $50.00 Lines per Page: 100 Sort by: Volume % Change All Other Categories: Mark as ALL When necessary, altering the above criteria produces an initial sort of varying length. We want to have an initial sort comprised of about 100 equities. Using the above criteria, we arrive at 120 equities on the morning of Monday, 2005-04-25. Downloading the results in Excel format (.csv) allows for a quick copy and paste of the symbols list. You'll need Winzip or another compression utility to open the .zip file. At this point, we still need to eliminate any stocks that fall outside our desired Average Daily Volume, EPS, or Float parameters. I use Qcharts for this process. Anyone interested in a free trial of Qcharts should send an email to SRVZ, and he can provide the information necessary to sign up for the Free Trial. We only keep equities which have the following criteria: 1. Positive EPS 2. Average Daily Volume > 200,000 shares 3. Float between 5 million and 60 million shares Using Qcharts to cull the stocktables.com initial sort for the 3 criteria listed above, we arrive at the following list of 47 equities: AMHC BEBE BUCY CDIS CEDC CHTT CMC CMN CMTL CYCL DCAI DHC ELOS FORD FTO GDP HOLX ISRG ISSC JLG JOSB KOSP LCAV LSS MCRI MCRS MDRX MFLX MTEX MW NSS PARL PGIC PRGS SNDA SYXI TIE TOPT TRGL URBN USG USNA USPI VLCCF VMSI VPI XXIA The next few steps involve the use of the various Chartscript Scans. Either using the Web Site Version of The Hershey Equities Rank SCAN v.1.0.0 or The Wealth-Lab Developer Version, create a Wealth-Lab Watch List comprised of the culled initial sort of equities (today 120 symbols culled down to 47). Run The Hershey Equities Rank SCAN v.1.0.0 against the 47 symbols of the culled initial sort. This scan seeks only equities which cycle the appropriate number of times over six months, and as a result, possess a 'Hershey Rank.' Running the list of 47 culled equities through the first Hershey Scan yields the following list of ranked stocks: DCAI ELOS FORD GDP MCRI MFLX PARL SNDA TOPT TRGL USG XXIA The above list of 12 ranked equities is our daily "Hot List." We compare our Hot List to the Final Universe List to determine if any of the Hot List stocks need to be added to The Final Universe List. Since each Hot List stock already finds itself in The Final Universe list, we have no additions to our Final Universe List on this day. We now need to determine which of the above stocks and stocks from our Final Universe List currently find themselves "In Dry Up" based on their actual volume. Placing the above list and The Final Universe List into a second Wealth-Lab Watch List and running The Hershey Equities Dry Up Volume Scan v.1.0.0 against the recently created List of ranked equities yields the following list of ranked equities with volume levels currently placing them "In Dry Up." EXM, EZPW, TOPT, TRGL Running our 4 ranked equities, which also find themselves currently "In Dry Up" against The Hershey Equities Score Scan v.1.0.0 we see the following scores: EXM - 0 EZPW - 5 TOPT - 0 TRGL - 0 We then monitor the above four equities in anticipation of receiving a trade signal. Individuals desiring full charting capabilities should utilize The Hershey Equities Rank v.2.0.2 Chartscript. Utilizing this Chartscript produces the same results in addition to permitting the saving of charts onto your hard drive. The methodology outlined above currently finds itself in the development and testing phase. Feel free to alter, augment, or change any portion of the process to suite your trading needs. As always, I encourage any comment on the usefulness of the methodology, as well as, any individual changes your testing and analysis has found. - Spydertrader
Has someone tried Jake Hershey´s method on other stock markets like Germany, Japan or ...? Best regards, Helmut