Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Sep 25, 2004.

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  1. 2005-02-11, Friday - Update

    The system triggered a signal this morning as actual volume on TASR exceeded the 50% pro-rata calculated Dry Up Volume around 9:40 AM. Unfortunately, we do not see price improvement with TASR ($13.77). MACD remained positive (+.0202), but The Stochastic Indicator remained low (15.1733). As Price, MACD and Stochastics fall outside our desired parameters, I take no action with regards to TASR. If MACD were to turn negative and The Stochastic Indicator remains low, TASR might become a viable short candidate. YMMV.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #711     Feb 11, 2005
  2. 2005-02-11, Friday - Update

    The system triggered two additional signals this morning as actual volume on EBKR and COGT exceeded calculated Dry Up Volume just before 11:00 AM. With EBKR, we have a thinly traded stock with an average daily volume outside our desired parameters. As a result, we take no action with regard to EBKR.

    COGT, on the other hand, shows price improvement and an average volume within our desired parameters. MACD levels show a level well into the positive range (+.2102), and The Stochastic Indicator held at high levels (97.8795). Price held at $30.45. As a result, we enter into a long trade with 1000 shares.

    02/11/05 10:51:00 30.45 30.44 30.45 1000

    - Spydertrader
     
    #712     Feb 11, 2005
  3. 2005-02-11, Friday - Update

    Because price has appreciated $1.36 since we purchased our shares of COGT, we move our original stop price (set at a 5% loss) $28.92 upwards in accordance with increasing price. Our new stop, based on the high so far of $31.80, now resides at $30.28.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #713     Feb 11, 2005
  4. svrz

    svrz

    Spydertrader

    There are probably more than 20-25 stocks on the various watch lists. Do you manually monitor these stocks during the day until 11:00 AM?

    If so, do you monitor any other list (i.e. short list)?

    Thanks in advance.
     
    #714     Feb 13, 2005
  5. 2005-02-14, Monday - Lists

    Happy Valentine's Day!

    I used RS and EPS Settings of 90 for the following lists

    Stocktables.com
    Sevens - Ones - Zeros
    PETD - CMC - IPS
    DTPI - WITS - MIPS
    KBAY - ADBL - MT
    FLSH - JOYG - VTIV
    CTSH - AFFX - NTAP
    HOLX - NGPS - CMC
    MDRX - IPS - TOPT
    EZPW - ANTP - LCAV
    CCJ - HLIT - ISRG
    MRVL - SNDA - BUCY

    Wealth-Lab Chartscript/Manual
    Hotlist

    ANTP
    NGPS
    TOPT
    EZPW
    MIPS
    ADBL
    SNDA
    KBAY

    Wealth-Lab Data/Yahoo Data
    Watch List

    GOAM - DU Cycle - DU5
    PACT - DU Cycle - DU5
    TASR - DU Cycle
    NGPS - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
    KEYW - DU Cycle
    ELOS - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10
    TOPT - DU Cycle
    MFLX - DU Cycle
    SNDA - DU Cycle
    ESMC - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10 - DU20
    JUPM - DU Cycle
    HRT - DU Cycle - DU5 - DU10
    IDSA - DU Cycle

    Wealth-Lab Developer Data & Equations/G33M4K Equations
    SRVZ Wealth Lab Equations - Dry Up (with G33M4K Score)

    ANGO - 5
    TASR - 2

    Eyeball
    Gallas2 "Keep an Eye on These" Stocks

    EXM (Attached)

    Yahoo Data/G33M4K Equations
    Dry Up Stocks with G33M4K Master List Score of Zero

    NGPS
    ELOS
    TOPT
    SNDA
    ESMC

    Stocktables Sort/Yahoo Data/G33M4K Equations/
    Test Culling Method with Score Hotlist

    ANTP 0
    CUTR 1
    FRD 1
    HANS 1
    KEYW 1
    MIPS 1
    INTN 7

    (GOAM, ANTP, NGPS, ANGO, HRT, IDSA, MT, HLIT, TRGL have float outside normal parameters)

    The following Stocks have been ADDED to the Final Universe List as of 2005-02-07: KBAY.

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=686276>
     
    #715     Feb 13, 2005
  6. Each Day, I monitor all the stocks on the various lists that I post (not including sevens - ones - zeros), but I monitor some more closely than others. Stocks that fall outside our normal parameters for Average Daily Volume, float or EPS, I only monitor from a volume standpoint, and when an alert triggers my tracking software, I look at price and the chart. I do this for posting purposes in the journal, rather than, for monitoring for a possible trade. Other stocks, such as those with Master List Score of Zero, I watch until something causes me to disregard that stock as a possible choice for the day. Overall, I closely monitor about ten stocks at a time (switching between various lists from time to time), but have alerts set for around 20-25 during the day. While all stocks have a volume alert, the number of stocks actively monitored (my short list) shrinks between 9:30 and 11:30 EST as price and volume action fails to materialize. After 11:30, I reset the volume alerts to FRV from Dry Up levels to catch the stocks that might not hit DU by 11:30, but do hit FRV by EOD. Of course, if I have an open chart for any stock in which I currently hold a position.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #716     Feb 13, 2005
  7. smtrader

    smtrader

    Hi Spydertrader,

    I have been lurking here for a few months and read all of your suggested links. Before my questions, thanks for all your efforts.

    My questions:

    When I did the stocktables.com sort, I have the same exact list as you except I have DATA in it instead of PETD. PETD would have been the 11th score 7, DATA being the first. DATA has positive price change over yesterday and adaquate volume. Any reason you did not include DATA?


    For KBAY, I can only find 4 20% cycles in the last 6 months, using Wealth-Lab. Also, it only has about 8 months of price history. I was under the impression that you looked for stocks with at least 2 years. Since we don't have enough price history, I am assuming it can't be tenured. I get very close doing it manually from mid December to late December, but not quite 20%. In the spirit of "eyeballing" the charts as Jack does, do we occasionally take some liberties? (see attached KBAY chart)

    Using SRVZ Wealth Lab Equations, I do not get TASR in DU... are you still using Yahoo for historical data? (I'll attach the SRVZ WL chart in next post)

    Thanks again for doing this journal, I am sure there are others like me who rarely (if ever) post, but still find this information extemely useful and interesting. This also goes out to all the others who have posted useful information, as Spydertrader always mentions.

    Great journal!

    smtrader
     
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    #717     Feb 14, 2005
  8. smtrader

    smtrader

     
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    #718     Feb 14, 2005
  9. After reviewing the Stocktables.com Data Download, DATA should have been on the list of sevens, as you correctly observe, and PETD should not. My error probably results from misreading the volume numbers (I may have thought Friday's Volume read 70,903 instead of the 709030). Thanks for alerting me to my snafu.

    I used the 'eyeball' method with KBAY, and decided the first big jump in price (according to Wealth-Lab) counted as two 20% runs over a three week period, rather than as Wealth-Lab indicated, one price run up during that time period. As you can see, I still have yet to master the eyeballing technique. I should have posted a disclaimer along with KBAY stating the chart had less than the desired two years worth of DATA. Thanks for clarifying.

    The (attached) chart of TASR shows volume DU using the SRVZ Dry Up Two Equation. I can only assume the discrepancy results from differences in data sources. Since I use Yahoo Data with Wealth-Lab Developer (something I hope to change this week), I must attribute the difference to some silliness involved with the Yahoo Data Servers (too common an occurrence lately).

    - Spydertrader

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=686378>
     
    #719     Feb 14, 2005
  10. svrz

    svrz

    Thanks for the reply, Spydertrader.

    When you mention tracking software, are you referring to Quotetracker? If I may ask, what are the alert parameters?

    Thanks again.
     
    #720     Feb 14, 2005
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