Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Sep 25, 2004.

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  1. Hershey Chartscripts

    Web Site Version

    Clicking on the above URL links you to the latest Hershey Equities Chartscript Version 2.0.4 available at the Wealth-Lab.com web site.

    I have also attached the same code below suitable for use in Wealth-Lab Developer. Inside, I have the WLD Version of the above Chartscript, the necessary indicators for the ChartScript use, as well as three Scans used for creating lists of Ranked Stocks (Hot List), Dry Up Stocks, and Stock Scores. An enclosed ReadMe file explains where to place the individual .ws files.

    I hope you find the information useful.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #1361     Jun 29, 2005
  2. smtrader

    smtrader

    Excellent. Thanks!
     
    #1362     Jun 30, 2005
  3. #1363     Jun 30, 2005
  4. 2005-06-30, Thursday - Update

    This morning, I monitored one list of stocks (11 total equities): Those equities from our daily Hot List and from our Final Universe List finding themselves "In Dry Up."

    Dry Up Stocks

    CKCM DCAI EZPW IIG JUPM MCRI MFLX NFLX TASR UBET USG

    Our system generated four possible trade signal from the list of eleven Dry Up Stocks when actual volume exceeded calculated "Low Band" Dry Up Volume prior to 11:30 AM.

    Dry Up Stocks Triggering Signal

    JUPM DCAI EZPW MCRI

    Dry Up Stocks NOT Triggering Signal

    CKCM IIG MFLX NFLX TASR UBET USG

    JUPM did not show price improvement ($17.26) at time of signal generation (10:51 AM). In addition, MACD Histogram showed a negative return (-.0198). However, The Stochastic Indicator fell below desired levels (43.9018).

    EZPW did show price improvement ($10.30) at time of signal generation (11:06 AM). In addition, MACD Histogram showed a positive return (+.0432). Also, The Stochastic Indicator fell above desired levels (100.00).

    DCAI did show price improvement ($22.20) at time of signal generation (11:07 AM). In addition, MACD Histogram showed a positive return (+.1433). Also, The Stochastic Indicator fell above desired levels (81.6182). Unfortunately, I was tied up with entering into a position with EZPW when this trade occurred, and found myself unable to act on this signal.

    MCRI did show price improvement ($22.08) at time of signal generation (11:26 AM). In addition, MACD Histogram showed a positive return (+.0635). However, The Stochastic Indicator fell below desired levels (76.5638).

    As a result, I took no action with respect to JUPM, DCAI or MCRI for the following reasons:

    Decreased Price

    JUPM

    Stochastics Failure to Confirm

    MCRI

    Entering into a position with EZPW

    DCAI

    The particulars for EZPW are as follows:

    06/30/05 11:06:55 10.30 10.25 10.30 2000

    EZPW

    Time: 11:06 AM
    Price: $10:30
    MACD: +.0432
    Stoch: 100.00
    Score: 2
    FRV: 294,188 shares
    Peak: 588,377 shares

    - Spydertrader
     
    #1364     Jun 30, 2005
  5. hpeganz

    hpeganz

    Is 76.5638 not above 75 and in desired levels??

    Best regards, Helmut
     
    #1365     Jun 30, 2005
  6. Before entering into a long position, I require Stochastics to be above 80. Jack Hershey, and many others, use a Stochastics level of 75 for confirmation.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #1366     Jun 30, 2005
  7. wabrew

    wabrew

    First, let me say that I have been an enthusiastic reader of your journal for the last few months. Great work - keep it up.
    Second, I confess that I have used your work a little differently than you and your other readers probably have. Specifically, I trade your stocks much more frequently than you do, I hope not to your detriment. Let me explain.

    My method of trading is not important - but I have benefited from your work by acting at times that might not fit your "system". For example, consider your EZPW trade today. I hope the attached picture of todays px/volume will be uploaded. I bot ezpw 4-5 time in the last month or two. Sometimes late in the day on weakness, other times early (on low volume) before you do your calculations. Yesterday is a good example. I bot 800 EZPW at 10.05 in the early part of the day (part of my reasoning was because you had it on one of your lists) I had to leave this morning so I entered order to sell at 10.72. It sold. I am happy.

    The question here is --- Since you have had so much success, and since I believe you have many more followers than you can imagine (this is the first time I have posted to your journal) is it possible that others like me are "front running" you, thereby creating the volume which helps to "generate" the numbers you need to get a signal -- and then creating some selffullment thereby creating the move that your system "produces".

    Todays action on EZPW just seems to prove the above.
    If my link below does not work just IM me and I will send you pic.
     
    #1367     Jun 30, 2005
  8. Thanks for your enthusiastic support, and I appreciate your interest.

    Many traders use different iterations of the Hershey Equities Methodology. Several individuals have posted their versions amongst the many pages of this journal. A few use the principles behind the methods and arrive at entirely different lists of equities to trade. Some prefer to 'day trade' the methods using the same equities as myself, while others incorporate the philosophy into an entirely different set of rules. Whatever their use, I remain honored that the work here has benefited so many. Congrats on your continued success.

    While the situation you describe appears somewhat probable considering EZPW remained flat before shooting off like a rocket this morning, I doubt we can attribute this morning's price action to traders 'front running' my signals. While certainly flattering to be considered a 'major player' with the potential to move markets, in reality, I remain simply a small fish trying to scratch out enough of a living from the stock market to pay my bills. I move neither mountains nor markets.

    Secondly, a very large group of people already monitor many of our stocks having arrived at a similar group of equities through the use of William O'Neil's CANSLIM Methodology. When the CANSLIM folks set their sights on a certain equity, volume and price rapidly increase. This "rising tide" of buy orders lifts all boats - including our own.

    Do I think trader "front running" occurs providing the occasional 'self fulfilling prophecy?' Sure I do, but my answer would be, "So What!" If the front runners provide enough volume to signal additional traders into a market segment, then great for everyone involved. Some of the brightest minds on Wall Street watch price and volume movement. Whether they follow or lead my order into a trade doesn't concern me in the slightest. As long as we all continue to extract significant dollars from the market, I have no plans to argue over pennies.

    Again, Congrats on remaining successful with your use of The Hershey Methodology. May you continue to enjoy an ever increasing level of success, and thank you for your input.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #1368     Jun 30, 2005
  9. 2005-06-30, Thursday - Update

    Stocks that did reach FRV Levels by EOD

    EZPW

    Stocks that did NOT reach FRV Levels by EOD

    CKCM DCAI IIG JUPM MCRI MFLX NFLX TASR UBET USG

    As a result, I hold all 2000 shares of EZPW at least until tomorrow.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #1369     Jun 30, 2005
  10. 2005-07-01, Thursday - Lists

    Hershey Wealth-Lab Chartscript Culling Methodology
    Hershey Chartscript Scans / Qcharts Culling / Stocktables.com Sort

    Hot List

    FORD MCRI

    Dry Up Stocks

    CKCM DCAI IIG MFLX NFLX TASR UBET

    Hot List Stocks Scores

    FORD - 2
    MCRI - 2

    Dry Up Stocks Scores

    CKCM - 2
    DCAI - 2
    IIG - 0
    MFLX - 5
    NFLX - 7
    TASR - 2
    UBET - 7

    Keep an Eye on These Stocks

    DCAI (Attached)

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=780258>
     
    #1370     Jun 30, 2005
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