Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Oct 4, 2005.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. switch

    switch


    How do you usually deal with stocks that are talking about acquisitions/mergers? For example TWPG is in a middle of an acquisition and I am not sure if any technicals are useful until everything settles? What has been your experience in the past?
     
    #3641     Oct 3, 2006
  2. As flippant as this may sound, I couldn't care less about the "general health of the market" when it comes to trading. As long as the market moves (one direction or another), a trader can make money. Flat markets, on the other hand, make trading (and profiting) extremely difficult (at least for me). Are we at the top and in the midst of a secular bear market? Do we find ourselves at the beginning stages of another Bull Market ? Who knows. Who cares. Always trade what you see, not what you think. If the market rockets higher, jump on board and enjoy the ride. If the market tanks, learn to make money from the short side. If the markets sits flat, take a vacation. :D

    Currently, TWPG hasn't reacted in a similar fashion to other equities experiencing mergers, acquisitions or takeovers. In the past (and specific symbol examples escape me at this moment) we have seen price flatline completely after an announcement of this nature. At that time, I completely avoid trading such an equity as price already has the buyout, takeover or merger factored in. Until TWPG begins to act in a similar fashion, I plan to continue to trade it. In fact, I sorta' like it for tomorrow. :D

    Once the merger, acquisition or buyout takes place, we then need to exercise caution with respect to keeping the company in the Final Universe. After all, it isn't the same company after the merger, acquisition or buyout as it was before. Most of these companies simply fall out of the Final Universe on their own. The market simply focuses its money elsewhere.

    Of course, your mileage may vary.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #3642     Oct 3, 2006
  3. qed

    qed

    <<As flippant as this may sound, I couldn't care less about the "general health of the market" when it comes to trading.>>

    No, it doesn't sound flippant. I know there are traders out there that can profit under most market conditions. I just haven't reached that level yet.

    As Jesse Livermore once said,

    "opinions are often wrong, markets never are"
     
    #3643     Oct 3, 2006
  4. I have LMIA doing DU by 10am. =)
     
    #3644     Oct 4, 2006
  5. foible

    foible

    LMIA failed to maintain rank so I've taken it off my list. Good luck if you're in a trade.
     
    #3645     Oct 4, 2006
  6. Its avg vol is below 200k also.....
     
    #3646     Oct 4, 2006
  7. Do you have LMIA as a tenured stock?

    - Spydertrader
     
    #3647     Oct 4, 2006
  8. Yeah........ Its more like i look at past cycles of the stock and see if it matches with whats in my head for sequnces. If it passes the test, i add it to the universe.
     
    #3648     Oct 4, 2006
  9. Another tenured stock that is running at an OK level of PRV and a decent technical setup is NFI.

    I have also found that shorts work better when the overall market is in a downcycle.......DUH.

    j
     
    #3649     Oct 4, 2006
  10. rickylc

    rickylc

    after a long wait, FTEK is finally moving for me

    still holding shares from last friday

    definitely not the approved hershey method on this one

    could have improved my entry had i sold off on friday
     
    #3650     Oct 4, 2006
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.