Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Oct 4, 2005.

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  1. qx04790

    qx04790

    Hi Spydertrader!

    Ich have checked your Friday watchlist and only one of them (i.e. GMXR) is in DryUp.

    Don't you trade Jack Hershey's method?
     
    #2441     May 26, 2006
  2. Aw goddammit. Do we want this method to get "Cramerized"? I hope you're kidding Jack!
     
    #2442     May 26, 2006
  3. You may find a thorough review of previous posts helpful.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #2443     May 26, 2006
  4. foible

    foible

    After a few days without any signals, blammo, TSCM hits LBDU in the first 5 minutes of trading! Something about the 50,000 share block print isn't filling my heart with confidence (especially since LBDU is only 70,000 :) )

    I had this problem earlier on another stock, so maybe I'll ask the group. I understood that we want to be cautious of these large prints because a single trade doesn't make a trend. I took that to mean we should mentally subtract it from the volume traded and proceed as normal (in which case TSCM is rapidly coming up on LBDU, for the second time). Other posters have said they would avoid this scenario because other traders would be attracted to the stock just because of the surge in volume and it won't be sustainable.

    Spydertrader and others, what do you think?



    Another question about trend lines related to TSCM. On the 30 min chart, TSCM looks to be in a down-sloping channel, and is trading near the top, but on the daily chart, it looks like it has a lot of room to move. The 30 min chart is showing stochastics (%K) at 100 and the MACD histogram is slightly positive. The daily stoch & MACD indicators are showing a good setup for a 'Bruno R' High Noon - declining volume, fast stoch crossing up through 50, slow stoch moving up after a sharp drop, MACD negative but about to cross up into positive.

    So, according to the indicators, this looks like a buy, according to the 30 min chart trendlines, this looks like a pass, and the daily chart shows it as a buy.

    Do you have any preferred way to deal with conflicting signals?

    thanks for your help, all.
     
    #2444     May 26, 2006
  5. This is the same reason I passed on it. However I see that PWEI signalled around 9:30 AM while I was away from my desk. By the time I got back, around 10:15 AM the "planets" were still aligned so I made the trade, although I feel a little late to the game. I'm traveling today so I placed a stop with my broker at -2% of the position.
     
    #2445     May 26, 2006
  6. gpzany

    gpzany

    Passed on both TSCM and PWEI due to the block trades being a large proportion of the volume traded at time of signal...
     
    #2446     May 26, 2006
  7. I just jumped in PWEI at 27.55. Lets see what happens.
     
    #2447     May 26, 2006
  8. I'm in TSCM at 27.50 and PWEI at 11.04

    Best signals in weeks. I agree about concern with the block trades, but nonetheless there was follow-through in volume.
     
    #2448     May 26, 2006
  9. foible

    foible

    I'm in PWEI at 27.45, and staying out of TSCM. PWEI has shown some follow-through volume, but I'm not so sure about TSCM - there are three block prints of 50,000. Staggered through the day, true, but it still looks like one buyer.

    Going to keep a close watch on PWEI to see what it does if it approaches 27.75 again.

    <img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1084078"/>
     
    #2449     May 26, 2006
  10. You got a much better fill than I did in PWEI :p
     
    #2450     May 26, 2006
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