Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Oct 4, 2005.

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  1. gpzany

    gpzany

    Good for you... 14 straight days of rain - wow!

    Thanks.
     
    #2401     May 22, 2006
  2. foible

    foible

    My dry up watchlist is: BNT CNTF MIND SFCC

    I'm also adding in MEK and FMD because they just edged above their DU upper bands without much movement. I'll keep an eye out for a volume breakout tomorrow.


    I notice that only one of the stocks in your list are in DU. Are you concentrating soley on the 'Bruno R' setups and ignoring the breakouts from dry up? Do you have a scan which flags these as candidates or do you run through your FU each day and eyeball candidates?

    I looked at your watch list and not sure I understand why you picked some of them. I'm not going to enter a 'Bruno R' trade for a while, but would like to solidify my understanding.

    COGO - volume seems to be increasing, not idling or declining, and both the fast and slow stoch seem to have shot up. Has the trade passed?

    CTHR - volume is still light, but the stoch (fast and slow) are well into the 80s. It looks like the price breakout has occured without volume. I stayed out of it because of that today and am still not sure what to make of it.


    Thanks,
    -f.
     
    #2402     May 22, 2006
  3. gpzany

    gpzany

    You made money - excellent...

    The EOD FRV rule is the only thing that I am not currently using. If the stock has volume greater than UBDU, I will hold it overnight...

    Cheers.
     
    #2403     May 22, 2006
  4. gooch87

    gooch87

    Yes, sorry for the typo.

    gooch87
     
    #2404     May 22, 2006
  5. I have these as 'Dry Up Stocks' as well.

    I also added FMD to my list of 'Dry Up' Candidates. I didn't add MEK, but then again, I really do not like AMEX stocks.

    Purely coincidental. I post the stocks on which I plan to place the majority of my focus. Often, none of the stocks I post find themselves 'In Dry Up."


    Not at all. I watch the charts throughout the day on the 'Bruno R' Candidates looking for continuation of the current (upturning) trend. With Dry Up stocks, I simply enter an alert into QCharts, and then pull up a chart for that equity once I receive a volume alert. If I do not receive a volume alert, I don't really have anything to monitor.

    I review a Daily Chart for every stock in The Final Universe during the evenings looking for a 'Bruno R' Set up.

    The Equities I posted previously and the reasons for their inclusion:

    CKCM - Rising Volume, Rising MACD Histogram, Stochastics (5,2,3) crossed below* the 25 level and continues to show upward divergence.

    CNTF - Rising MACD Histogram, Rising Price, Positive Price Derivative, Stochastics (5,2,3) rising and showing positive divergence.

    COGO - MACD Histogram Positive, Stochastics (5,2,3) and Stochastics (14,1,3) above the 80 level. Rising Price Derivative

    CTHR - Similar to COGO, but a little further along in its cycle.

    GMXR - Flat Price, decreasing volume, slight uptrend in Stochastics (5,2,3)

    IVAC - Price flat for several days, Positive MACD Histogram, Stochastics (5,2,3) above the 50 level and showing continued positive divergence, Rising (and positive) Price Derivative

    MTEX - Price appears to have bottomed at support, Rising MACD Histogram, Slight Uptrend in Stochastics (5,2,3), Increasing Volume on slightly improved price

    TRLG - One of the 'Bruno R' test chartscripts under evaluation picked it as a buy

    I hope you find the above information useful.

    - Spydertrader

    *Edit: 'crossed' below in this context means the %K and the %D lines 'crossed over'
     
    #2405     May 23, 2006
  6. foible

    foible

    Very much so. Thank you again for helping to bring me up to speed with what you are doing.
     
    #2406     May 23, 2006
  7. gooch87

    gooch87

    Hi Spydertrader,


    When I first looked at this chart I considered it a possible buy for tomorrow.
    When I didn't see it in your list, I went back to the charts... Allow me to explain and if you wouldn't mind, please correct me if I am wrong with any point in my analysis.

    1. We have 2 Failures to traverse the down trend, however; the stock is still within the primary up trend. It may test the bottom of the channel again.

    2. Fast stochastic is showing that the current down trend may be coming to an end. Looks like the slope is not a steep as I would like.

    3. I am not sure what the Slow Stochastic and MACD are telling, only that the MACD histogram is moving up, and it still has a long way to go. The MACD moving average lines are still going down, not a long sign.

    4. The price is getting close to the 50 day simple moving average and closed just above the current trend that I drew in blue. It may test that 50 day and if it fails, it will take more time before this is a long.

    In conclusion, it will be on my watch list tomorrow. I would be very skeptical about going long.

    Does this sound like a good analysis of the chart?

    gooch87

    This is a daily chart of TIE
    <img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1080313"></img>
     
    #2407     May 23, 2006
  8. As usual gooch87, you provided a highly detailed and accurate analysis of a Daily Chart for TIE. Three reasons exist regarding why I failed to add TIE to my Watch List for tomorrow.

    1. I could not tell from the chart if we see a pause in the shorter term downward trend continuation, or the beginning of a base before price returned to the longer term uptrend.

    2. I often watch a stock with a flat Stochastics (14,1,3) when Stochastics (5,2,3) shows upward divergence, but experience has caused me to exercise caution when the Stochastics (14,1,3) points downward (See Attached Chart - notice the similarities to a trade I recently made).

    3. I found an equal number of reasons to avoid the trade as I did to take this trade. As a result, I went with the old adage, "When in doubt stay out."

    I don't mean to imply that I feel TIE won't see price improvement tomorrow. Rather, I viewed the odds closer to that of a coin flip. As such, I scratched the coin flip off my list.

    Good Trading to you.

    - Spydertrader

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1080331>
     
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    #2408     May 23, 2006
  9. chapper

    chapper

    pretty quiet today... I closed out a FTEK position from last week for .30 loss at 15.50.

    Any faith in todays rally, or is everyone in wait and see mode?
     
    #2409     May 23, 2006
  10. My own personal bias has caused me to avoid the market today. I simply do not trust this rally. As a result, you can count me as one of the 'wait and see mode' folks.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #2410     May 23, 2006
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