So the real P/E ratio is ???. What does the S&P have to drop to in order to reach traditional P/E valuation?
<p><big><small>It has been removed- but I retrieved it from my RSS aggregator.</small></big></p> <hr> <h2 class="entry-title"> </h2> <h2 class="entry-title"><a href="http://feedproxy.google.com/%7Er/TheBigPicture/%7E3/fNLY7JRDYMs/" target="_blank" class="entry-title-link">Inflation Adjusted SPX Earnings</a></h2> <div class="entry-author"><span class="entry-source-title-parent">from <a target="_blank" class="entry-source-title" href="http://www.google.com/reader/view/feed/http%3A%2F%2Ffeeds.feedburner.com%2FTheBigPicture">The Big Picture</a></span> by <span class="entry-author-name">Barry Ritholtz</span></div> <p><a href="http://www.chartoftheday.com/" target="_blank">Chart of the Day</a> provides this job dropping perspective on the current earnings environment: 12-month S&P 500 earnings, relative to the peak in Q3 2007.</p> <p>With 38% of S&P 500 companies reporting Q2 2009 numbers, on a real basis, earnings have declined over 98%.</p> <p>This is the largest decline on record going back to 1936.</p> <p>The folks at <a href="http://www.chartoftheday.com/" target="_blank">Chart of the Day</a> note that if current estimates hold — and that’s a big “if,” as they are most likely too low — then Q3 2009 will see the first 12-month period during which S&P 500 earnings are negative.</p> <p><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">></span></p> <h3>Inflation Adjusted S&P500 Earnings</h3> <p><a href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/20090724.gif" target="_blank"><img height="340" width="454" alt="20090724" src="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/20090724.gif" title="20090724"></a><br> via <a href="http://www.chartoftheday.com/20090724.htm?T" target="_blank">Chart of the Day</a></p>
"Today's chart illustrates how earnings are expected (38% of S&P 500 companies have reported for Q2 2009) to have declined over 98% since peaking in Q3 2007, making this by far the largest decline on record (the data goes back to 1936)" I expect to make 3 million USD trading next week too - doesn't make it fact.