South Winds, Red Skies & Clouds in the West

Discussion in 'Journals' started by expiated, Sep 24, 2017.

  1. expiated

    expiated

    Tuesday Morning / January 28, 2020 / 2:20 AM PST
    It took AUDJPY and NZDJPY approximately two to two-and-a-half hours to hit their more ambitious take-profit targets and about three to three-and-a-half hours to register actual exit signals, which did not occur until somewhere in the neighborhood of 73.40 for the former and 71.03 for the latter.

    upload_2020-1-28_2-21-54.png
     
    #311     Jan 28, 2020
  2. expiated

    expiated

    Tuesday Morning / January 28, 2020 / 2:45 AM PST

    If USDCHF intends to maintain its bullish day-to-day bias, now (0.9688) would be a good time for it to start heading north, seeing as how I have all kinds of statistical support levels registering anywhere from 0.9671 to 0.9680 to 0.9688. (Presently, the pair has formed two consecutive red daily candlesticks.)

    My 60-minute charts have not yet triggered a trade signal, but my five-minute chart just did. So I am going to go long now. I'm going to use a relatively conservative take-profit target of 0.9699. (The more ambitious target is at 0.9715.)
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2020
    #312     Jan 28, 2020
  3. expiated

    expiated

    Tuesday Morning / January 28, 2020 / 11:15 AM PST

    Results thus far suggest I should usually go with my more ambitious take-profit target, or perhaps even add ten pips on top of that. It took USDCHF about an hour to hit my conservative target and two hours to hit the more ambitious one.

    I am, as of this moment, now 100% into what I hope and believe to be the final iteration of Numerical Price Prediction (NPP)—the Shoreline Touch Strategy—with the last open positions remaining from previous techniques having been exited as recorded below...

    ScreenHunter_7538 Jan. 28 11.18.jpg
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2020
    #313     Jan 28, 2020
  4. expiated

    expiated

    I would have expected USDCAD to reverse north this morning at 1.3177, but it did not. Yet USDCHF worked out for me perfectly last night. I therefore reintroduced a moving average cluster I deleted previously that would have kept me out of the USDCAD trade and compared it with USDCHF. It would have still gotten me into the USDCHF trade, but with a bit of a delay. (FOR NOW, DUB THIS VALIDATION SIGNAL "THE PURPLE CLUSTER.") Also, using my USDCHF stop loss on USDCAD this morning would have place it at 1.3163, which the pair has not yet reached, so the asset might still reverse direction north before then and climb for what would have been a successful trade after all.
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2020
    #314     Jan 28, 2020
  5. expiated

    expiated

    Tuesday / January 27, 2020

    AUDJPY
    "wrong" colored candlestick
    AUDUSD
    CADJPY
    "wrong" colored candlestick
    EURJPY "wrong" colored candlestick
    EURUSD
    GBPJPY
    GBPUSD

    NZDJPY "wrong" colored candlestick
    NZDUSD
    USDJPY
    "wrong" colored candlestick

    EURAUD
    EURGBP
    USDCAD
    "wrong" colored candlestick
    USDCHF

    (Use arrows on your five-minute chart setup to indicate the direction of the day-to-day trend, and double arrows to indicate when the daily candlestick is "mis-colored." Also, plot a dynamic horizontal line at the same level as the shoreline launch pad, which is where you should also plot the aforementioned arrows.)
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2020
    #315     Jan 28, 2020
  6. expiated

    expiated

    Wednesday / January 29, 2020 / 8:00 AM PST

    EURGBP eventually turned around and headed north, but not before stopping me out to hand me my first loss since finalizing my Shoreline Touch strategy...

    ScreenHunter_7544 Jan. 29 07.04.jpg

    Between this and two or three other additional journals, EliteTrader has provided me with a convenient place to record my thoughts so that I have now established a routine that, as a whole, is organized enough for me to continue it in just one file on my own personal laptop.

    ScreenHunter_7547 Jan. 29 07.24.jpg
    So unless I decide to trade via NADEX (which is still a possibility given how today's success trading at-the-money contracts is illustrating how just one trade there can net more than I can earn trading six days via OANDA) there is no more reason for me to add to my threads here at ET...

    ScreenHunter_7546 Jan. 29 07.22.jpg

    I originally hoped others might help me get to this point, but for the most part, folks mainly tried to convince me I had no idea what I was doing, with notable exceptions of course such as .signa, IAlwaysWin, Turveyd and a couple of others. But no matter. As stated in Romans 8:31...

    "What then shall we say to these things? If God is for us, who is against us?"
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2020
    #316     Jan 29, 2020