I'm just guessing...economically...the U.S. can only afford to keep a lockdown for 2 - 3 months. Actually, anything more than 2 months, the President Trump can say goodbye to his re-election bid because the Democrats will spin that long of a lockdown into something that gives them an easy victory. In fact, the media will start to spin stories about a possible lift of the lockdown for timelines like May 1st or June 1st. wrbtrader
If the unemployment numbers are still bad by November. Trump is toast. Those unemployed will be angry and take it out on him. Its early days yet, people are still optimistic this will all be over quick. I dont think he stands a chance, not unless he can keep mailing out those checks every month till the election.
Trump keeps wanting to reopen the economy. Voters disagree. https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/11/politics/trump-economy-coronavirus-analysis/index.html
I doubt the people will blame Trump for the Corona virus that took the economy down. If Trump boasts about his track record before the virus in creating jobs/economy and promises to bring them back to new highs then he is highly likely to get a landslide victory.
No president has ever won re election in the middle of a recession. And this one is looking like it might be the worst recession since 1930, and maybe even in the same sort of league as that depression If there was an election today, trump would probably win. But seven months from now i dont rate his chances at all.
WRT the bolded quote, was any of those recessions caused by a pandemic? The context of the recession is important.
Although they wont blame him for the pandemic the unemployed are going to run out of patience by November if they are still out of work. They will blame him for not sorting out the recovery fast enough. Im a big trump fan myself. Our only hope is people see how bad a candidate Biden is.
then should you be taking shelter in your Y2K bunker because "World War Z" is coming hahaha more good sh!t for you: https://kdvr.com/news/colorado-covi...ng-experimental-plasma-treatment-family-says/ http://www.koreabiomed.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=7936 https://www.aa.com.tr/en/health/immune-blood-plasma-treatment-showing-success-expert/1800086 btw,
"...Scott Kaplan is one of the first patients in the state to receive a convalescent plasma transfusion. The treatment involves taking the plasma of a person who has already recovered from the virus and transfusing it into the blood of a current patient. The treatment is designed only for severe cases. Kaplan received the treatment on Sunday and remains in critical condition. However, his sisters say he has made small improvements in the days since..." So...Was it because of the transfusion, or was it because his own body got the upper-hand on the virus? Jeez, how do we test for that?
Trump vrs Biden in terms of political weight more like company President vrs a office manager. If Biden picks some strong VP mate like Sanders or Bloomberg or Hillary, then Trump might have to pack his bags despite him doing lots good for the US. Btw, just remembered that Biden has promised a woman VP mate so probably Hillary might get a promotion to her credentials.