Son of If You Can Draw a Straight Line . . .

Discussion in 'Journals' started by dbphoenix, Sep 19, 2013.

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  1. niko

    niko

    So you have to do it, if you ask other people they will probably tell you that is not the place to enter because their plans are wired differently, if that happens then you may end up avoiding a good trade that was in your plan.

    If it does not work, then you just review your trading day and if necessary make adjustments to your plan.
     
    #751     Oct 18, 2013
  2. redbox

    redbox

    Thanks Niko
     
    #752     Oct 18, 2013
  3. niko

    niko

    Ok, so as we are in the chop, the next course of action is to wait for things to clear out.

    Here comes another thing that has to be defined through testing: Does the Break happen at (1)10:40 or at (2)10:49.

    If the answer is 1 (not so sure) then the order is placed at the pink square if 2 then one does nothing up until the last bar plotted.

    [​IMG]
     
    #753     Oct 18, 2013
  4. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    I should point out here that we're only 30-40pts away from the ES upper channel.
     
    #754     Oct 18, 2013
  5. Here's my take on this method (paper trades) for today's ES starting at about 10:pm MT.
    Blue dots are trade exits. Yellow line is previous wave 50% point.
    Any comments are welcomed.
    thnx.
     
    #755     Oct 18, 2013
  6. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Not bad. And I can see your getting out of a long, if any, at the break of the demand line if you have fear issues. But there's no short there by any means. You're in an uptrend. So there's no short until after 1300 (this is more easily seen on a time chart -- I assume these are CVBs). And your 50% level is incorrect.

    But you have the right idea, and that's at least half the battle, if not more.

    Try replotting this from the open with a 1m bar and see how it looks.
     
    #756     Oct 18, 2013
  7. Thanks Db,
    I can see now I was too eager to short after the break of the fanned demand line, specially in a strong uptrend, but the 12:58 short was entered after three failed tries to break out of the previous high and a break of the demand line so I don't get why you're dismissing it.
    Is there something else I am not considering?
     
    #757     Oct 18, 2013
  8. The research for the edge is done in hindsight but after you train the eye, don't lie to yourself, if you did not see it live, you did not see it, regardless of how easy looking back looks like.
     
    #758     Oct 18, 2013
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Did you draw these in real time?
     
    #759     Oct 18, 2013
  10. Ok, on the 1 min it becomes apparent that I should have waited for the RET after 13:00. Thnx.
     
    #760     Oct 18, 2013
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