Dick Morris is saying "Big Romney Win"... and he has info supposedly not tainted by MSM. Cramer is saying "Historic, landslide win for Odumbo" Irish bookies are already paying out based upon Odumbo win. Isn't the "official line", "Odumbo wins by a small margin?" (Heaven help us!) ??
The Irish bookie thing is some sort of scam or promotion. They did the same thing on a golf tournament for a Tiger win but he lost. They paid out and lost almost $2 million on that one.
Nate Silver with 86% chance of an Obama win. But, he is just averaging the MSM polls to come up with an average. He is making a classic mistake in finance: No matter how diversified you are in your portfolio, if you're holding onto junk, your portfolio is still junk (Not AAA-rating worthy). In this case: No matter how sophisticated the process may be, if the underlying data is junk (based on bad assumptions), you still get junk/garbage as a result.
Why don't you gentlemen join the wager that William Rednick and I placed on his thread. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=252790 That is unless your chicken ;P Muahahahhaha!!!!(evil laugh)
You too, PT. Put your mouth where your mouth is, and join our bet. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=252790