Some truth? Or general horse...

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by Ivanovich, Jan 20, 2006.

  1. (1) It wasn't too long ago that the "media" believed that crude oil would reach $100/barrel. Now they're telling everybody to be bearish. (2) The "media" assumes inflation will continue. They completely ignore a deflationary scenario. (3) Greenspan follows the Fed Funds contract to determine Fed policy. He doesn't lead the market. He responds to it. (4) Employment numbers are a "lagging indicator" of a strong economy. An uptrending stock market is the best leading indicator of a strong & confident economy. (5) Stocks are still overvalued compared to historical norms because of aggressive accounting practices that create a misguided sense of proper valuation. PE's and dividend yields need to get to "7" AND be accompanied by a sense of panic before a state of undervaluation and capitulation can be achieved. We're not there yet. We'll see what happens later.