Some fundamental reasons why the top is in

Discussion in 'Trading' started by marketsurfer, Jul 16, 2013.

  1. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    Why do you say that?

    A PE of 16 isn't reasonable for the SPX?

    When we were at 1500ish in 2007, the nominal earnings in the SPX were 75. Today it's closer to 100.
     
    #11     Jul 17, 2013
  2. Ash1972

    Ash1972

    Instead of looking at earnings, look at revenues. They tell a different story.
     
    #12     Jul 17, 2013
  3. Ash1972

    Ash1972

    A P/E of 21 is not unusual either. There was still a crash.
     
    #13     Jul 17, 2013
  4. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    I looked up the revenues. They are higher today than 2007 albeit modestly.

    I'm saying that things aren't as frothy now as they were then at least from a quantitative metric.
     
    #14     Jul 17, 2013
  5. We are short the YM mini DJIA contract. How are you doing, Artie, long time no chat.

    surf
     
    #15     Jul 17, 2013

  6. Very good point, Ash. Thanks! surf
     
    #16     Jul 17, 2013
  7. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    What was that entry price again?
     
    #17     Jul 17, 2013
  8. Redneck

    Redneck

    Likely as not price is going up for a retest

    We shall see if it holds or not

    This thread - ????

    RN
     
    #18     Jul 17, 2013
  9. This pathetic attempt at self-promotion can now be laid to rest along with the journal.

    Dow Jones Industrial Average
    Dow Jones Indices: .DJI - 18 Jul 10:12am ET
    15544.66+74.14 (0.48%)

    Open 15465.91
    High 15552.70
    Low 15465.91
     
    #19     Jul 18, 2013
  10. Lucrum

    Lucrum


    *crickets chirping*
     
    #20     Jul 18, 2013