SnP, Dow Rally on the way?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by nemesis45, Mar 21, 2016.

  1. nemesis45

    nemesis45

    I have a strategy. Does not apply in this case, which is why I use "feel". Waiting for a confirmation to think about getting my longs in. Market doesnt go by what I feel, is what I am aware of pretty clearly.
     
    #11     Mar 21, 2016
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  2. Stockmarketmap

    Stockmarketmap

    Good to clear that up ..

    the combination of:
    1) fear of loss ( loss of capital that you "care" about ) and
    2) uncertainty ( the strategy needs to produce strong enough & consistent enough statistical outcomes in order to instill enough confidence to override uncertainty ( or overconfidence / greed )) / second guessing the signaling )
    can be performance killers . . .
     
    #12     Mar 21, 2016
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  3. S2007S

    S2007S




    Yep after a 13% skyrocketing jump in 5 weeks on the S$P now is the time to jump back in....when the S$P was under 1900 no one cared to even consider going long...now after the 13% jump it seems everyone wants back in once again....would be a funny situation to see everyone pile back into the S$P to only once again watch it drop below 1850.
     
    #13     Mar 21, 2016
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  4. endicottsteel

    endicottsteel

    if people are saying on a trading forum that now might be a good time to go long then we could be in for a pullback. :sneaky:
     
    #14     Mar 21, 2016
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    f2calv likes this.
  5. John Barnes

    John Barnes

    I am a new trader so I would not have anything to add from a trading perspective. I do however have some thoughts to share.

    • I think there is a very strong probability that the EU will continue to burn bright and hot and the big money is probably already moving out.
    • China's big money will continue its escape to safer places.
    • The US and the strong Dollar is not great but it is the best game in town.
    • The FED has their backs against the wall and will only continue with more of the same
    • The DOW has more potential because of its international preference.
    • Faith in governments is diminishing rapidly and this will drive money to equities.
    • Watch EU and Brexit closely. I don't think it will happen because they will rig it if they have to. But the falls out after that could be a turning point.
    • I am thinking the DOW will run up but won't last for long. All of the same bullshit bringing down the rest of the globe will eventually come to the US.
    • Lastly I would not be surprised to see a record high in the DOW.
    Just some thoughts.
     
    #15     Mar 25, 2016
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