Slaughtering the Sacred Cows of the trading industry

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Cutten, May 31, 2008.

  1. Cutten

    Cutten

    There are a number of "Sacred Cows" in the trading and investment industry, that are - quite frankly - ridiculously indefensible. It is about time that these moronic behaviours are eradicated for good. Here's a few particularly egregious examples.

    1) Hedge fund 2 and 20 performance fees. This one is really easy - NO fund should have any management fees whatsoever. If you actually underperorm t-bills, then you have screwed over your investors and you should earn a big fat zero. Hedge fund managers are supposed to be risk-takers, yet they aren't willing to risk not getting a management fee if they actually have a down year? If Buffett in the 1950s could do 0 and 25, and if Mohnish Pabrai can do that now, then so can hedge fund managers. So, this should be abolished because it is a sign either of having no confidence in one's ability to trade profitably; or of being a greedy git. If you are the latter but not the former, then 0 and 25, or 0 and 30+, makes much more sense. Live and die by your performance, not by being a fee-creaming asshole like the mutual funds

    To see how this really fleeces investors, just look at the fees taken at different return levels. Then compound that over 5-10 years. For terrible single digit, or mediocre 10-15% returns, the hedgie makes a fortune whilst investors get the shaft.

    2) Annual fees with lack of clawbacks. This is one of the worst. You know the scam - use a high win rate strategy (usually short-gamma e.g. put selling, "relative value", convergence trades, stat "arb" etc) that works 4-5 years in a row then blows up. Make 30%, 30%, 30%, 30%, -100%. The hedgie gets 20% of profits and 2% of assets each year for the first 4 years, then leaves investors holding the bag. LTCM and Niederhoffer are great examples. The way to avoid this free trader's option, which promotes scamming and criminal behaviour and costs investors fortunes, is to have a clawback provision - 3 years, for example, with the hedgie only getting 1/3 of his bonus in year 1, 1/3 in year 2, and 1/3 in year 3, and a 3 year clawback on past bonuses if he has future losses. That way there is lower incentive to do yield-hog blowup high-win-rate strategies, since the hedgie has much more to lose - his bonus is deferred, and can be clawed back if he blows up.

    3) Abolish the high-water mark. Once a hedgie is down 30% or so, he faces ages before getting incentive payments again since he has to get back to the high-water mark. This encourages gambling and reckless trading - Niederhoffer in 1997 was the perfect example. Heads the hedgie wins and makes a killing; tails the fund blows up. But since it would suffer massively withdrawals and pay no bonuses anyway, that isn't such a big deal. The trader has upside if he is reckless, and little downside if he blows up investors' funds. Replace the high water mark with the clawback provision. That way, each year the manager starts afresh and is incentivised the same. He can then take risks based on the current market climate, NOT based on how he did the year before.

    4) Position limits. Exchanges already have the ability to enforce 100% cash purchases, or even to go to liquidation-only trading. As seen by the massacre of the Hunts during the 1980 silver bubble, these tools are more than powerful enough to stop any true market manipulation. Position limits therefore do not help one iota in stopping a manipulation, especially nowadays in a globalised market where many speculators own storage & delivery systems, thus classifying themselves as "trade"/hedgers and circumventing the limits. Position limits nowadays only serve to stop skilled speculators from supplying liquidity and achieving price discovery, which retards the correct supply & demand being portrayed and thus addressed by the market.

    5) Mutual funds, and asset management fees. It should be made illegal to charge any asset management fees in excess of the fair administrative costs of a fund. All fees that generate actual profit for a fund management company should be based on performance only. The mutual fund industry has for decades exploited ignorant and naive retail investors by charging massive fees, having huge turnover, and sucking performance-wise compared to the indices. It is a triple whammy that results in huge costs to investors over time. The economic rent scammed by the fund management industry is effectively a reverse form of welfare - taking from the poor and middle class, to make the rich richer. Now the real culprit here is people being too stupid to educate themselves and their offspring/students, and the government having such appalling financial/economic education. However, just because a vulnerable person is ignorant does not mean it is acceptable to scam them. I am sure I could con an old lady into investing her life-savings into the vehicle of my choice - that does not stop it being a crime. The assessing of totally outrageous, excessive, undeserved mutual fund management fees is no different - except the scale is far bigger, and thus the social and individual cost in terms of pensions f*cked, retirement savings demolished, is numbered in the billions if not trillions.

    6) Brokers pooling investor/customer accounts for cross-margining. This exposes customers to unnecessary credit risk - one trader blows up and everyone loses their money. It is unacceptable for brokers to take customer funds, and receive the profit, in return for exposing the customers to excessive credit risk. Customer funds should be placed at a kind of clearing-house, and brokers only allowed to use those funds for the trading of each customer. This would raise the cost of trading, but it would be safe trading.

    7) Imposition of margin limits for ALL investment transactions of any kind. Whilst we have a fractional-reserve system, with socialisation of bank losses, and private control of the money supply, it is completely unacceptable to allow banks to charge economic rent by gambling on high leverage with customer funds and thus (due to the Bernanke/Bear Stearns put) charging the tax payer annually the cost of that put, without paying the premium in real cash. Since abolishing bailouts, fractional reserve banking, or taking control of the money supply (using a GDP money growth rule a la Friedman) seem politically off-limits, the only moral and sensible economic course is to regulate all leveraged transactions and impose margin limits. I would suggest 10-20% margin should be used as a baseline - lower volatility products which bear little relation to face value (e.g. Eurodollars) can get different % rates, higher vol stuff like oil futures should be 10% at least. Anything off-exchange (with no clearing house) should be charged double-margin. This should also apply to housing - minimum 20% deposit to own a house. The reason is that housing risk is also socialised. Poor & middle class people gamble with 0% deposits, and the rich high-bracket taxpayers have to pick up the tab when the former lose, whine, then get a government bailout. That's totally immoral, therefore the reckless gambling with OPM must be limited in the first place.

    8) Equal regulation of financial journalists, newsletter writers and financial advisors. It is totally unjustified that to charge someone for financial advice, one has to jump through onerous regulatory hoops, none of which in any way protect the customer; yet journalists are able to freely dole out advice, usually totally unsound and destructive of wealth, and also charge (via newspaper/magazine costs). Fund managers are given free reign to promote investment ideas in the press. This is ridiculous - one class is allowed freedom of speech, the other denied it...for the same subject! Therefore, abolish all restrictions on giving financial advice, but make people legally liable for giving atrocious advice that destroys wealth. Most common liability can generally be avoided by disclaimers - let anyone use them then, and level the playing field - but the worst advice could not. This is a fair situation, which would allow more people to enter the advisory field, reducing costs for the public; and the lawsuit threat would be enough to enforce justice and keep advice relatively sound.

    9) Eliminate any regulatory controls on setting up an investment fund or collective investment scheme. As we have seen from multiple hedge-fund failures, regulation does not protect investors, and there is ZERO legal enforcement after the fact for reckless gambling and defrauding blowup artists like LTCM, Brain Hunter/Amaranth etc. Replace it with mandatory alignment of interests - make it compulsory for the fund manager to have 75%+ of his entire net worth in the fund. That way, the manager will trade the way investors would want him to - as if it was his own money. If investors get fucked, at least they have the consolation that the manager took an even bigger hit to his capital. Having alignment of interests relies on nothing more than basic human nature - self-interest - to make sure the manager is responsible and acts fairly to investors. Anyone who thinks this is reckless should consider that it is perfectly legal to give someone a 100% mortgage, or to take all their money and use it as a 5% deposit on a commercial office building - both of which are many, many times more risky than even a leveraged hedge fund, let alone a normal cash-only investment portfolio in listed securities.
     
  2. Cutten

    Cutten

    N.B. I am well aware that lots of these recommendations go against a free-market caveat emptor principle. But while society is vehemently anti-market, and insists on bailouts for reckless gamblers aka "investors", "homeowners", and "banks", and shows no willingness to make them take responsibility and consequences for their own behaviour, but instead puts the cost onto me and others like me, then simple principles of economic self-defence require them to be restrained.

    If the costs of their stupidity are borne by the, it's their business. Once it becomes borne by me, it's now my business.
     

  3. what fees/costs are being "borne by you" ? specific examples please, not esoteric "what ifs"

    surf
     
  4. Cutten,

    You took a long time getting there but the answer lies in (9)

    When ever someone approaches me with the investment opportunity of a lifetime, my response always has the same two components.

    .... you must commit more of your net worth to the project than me.

    ..... I must be offered the sellout before you.

    Fees are immaterial because none of the many approaches have ever survived the first two requirements.
    Hence my Wife and I have never joined schemes or taking onboard partners since we became in a position to invest.

    regards
    f9
     
  5. What regulation will stop “Hunter” brothers to open 2 diff funds and go long/short on Nat gas ?
     
  6. Excellent Commentary All

    .....................................................................

    The payment arrangement for a stock hedge fund should be very simple....and a manager should not be rewarded for something the individual could have done on their own without any management....

    An individual can invest in TBills....

    An individual can invest in the SP500....


    Thus no management fees and a percentage of the amount above TBills for strategies that would have no downside risk to the initial principal....

    Or no management fees and a percentage of the profits above SP500 returns when profits are made....and a payment arrangement from the manager to the individual if there is underperformance of the SP500....

    These two forms are how one would truly isolate the value of management....
     
  7. Some excellent insights, Cutten.
     
  8. ammo

    ammo

    wasn't the great depression blamed on 10% margin in the stock mrkt,where are we now percentage wise globally,i doubt even the fed knows, when gore lost the election due to fraudulent chads, he knew it,everybody knew it,nothing was done about it because everyone had dirt on everyone,how is this speculative bubble any different, they could close that loophole in the banking sytem on monday morning if they wanted to,but too many of their friends would lose money, same old same old,same shit different day
     
  9. For mutuals (relative return), that works, since that is their goal; index outperformance. For hedges (absolute risk-adjusted return), it doesn't.

     
  10. Cutten: Great post. Agree everywhere around.


    Accountability to ones' self is the greatest motivator for judicious decision making ... I love the requirement to put 75% of liquid net worth into trading funds for money managers and anyone who controls capital.

    Although figuring out the structure for i-banks, the most egregious of offenders and manipulators might be difficult.

    The whole corporate shield is the defining trait that entitles recklessness with other peoples' money. (which in this case, often boils down to fed funds)
     
    #10     May 31, 2008