since about 90% of the traders lose money, what's the percentages of winning trader in the forum. Ar

Discussion in 'Trading' started by TripleJs, Oct 30, 2020.

Are you a consistenly profitable trader?

  1. Yes, for over 3 months

  2. Yes, for atleast 1 year

  3. Yes, for over 3 years

  4. No, I am not profitable and but trying to learn

  5. No, but I pretend to be profitable to get attention

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  1. Dazz

    Dazz

    defining consistent is a hard question; I use a linear regression to ask and answer that trade question. I am in Trade for Greatness every day now for a while and I have plotted daily P/L over time as a linear regression; she is a consistent trader and generally improving over time; no indicators- just reads price, whole numbers and levels.Her room aver $367/d over the last 195 day.
    upload_2020-10-30_6-33-21.png .
     
    #11     Oct 30, 2020
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  2. nursebee

    nursebee

    survivorship bias
     
    #12     Oct 30, 2020
  3. AbbotAle

    AbbotAle

    If money's the name of the game, use full or 0.75% Optimal F and tell us how you get on with those constant 80% drawdowns...
     
    #13     Oct 30, 2020
  4. there is also a release from a day trading firm in US that only 10% percent was profitable in that year(could quater, can not remember, the report could be googled). So if you count in the term of 5-10 years, the number should be much less than 10%. For long term stock holders, 90% percent are profitable in the last 10 years. So if you define consistent winning as someone with true trading edge, day trading statistics is a better indicator, in that term, I believe less than 5% is successful.
     
    #14     Oct 30, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. fan27

    fan27

    The above comment is based on actual trading.
    The above comment is not based on actual trading.
     
    #15     Oct 30, 2020
  6. AbbotAle

    AbbotAle

    Oh yes it is, I base all my trading decisions on the back of a simple concept - look for areas on the chart when EVERYONE WANTS IT (for whatever reasons). Those areas will normally always be on the back of the fabled 7th Law - Dramatic price movements tend to unfold from price structures than minimise participation.

    Many traders base their very solid game-plans on the back of the 7th Law and it's ubiquitous in all markets in all time-frames...
     
    #16     Oct 30, 2020
  7. virtusa

    virtusa

    What made you come to that conclusion?
     
    #17     Oct 30, 2020
  8. Not really a good question.

    You see... what you have here is a "Tale of Two Cities".

    In one city, traders hopeful that the markets will lead them to riches very soon... risk their money and lose it before they "know what they're doing". So... this group is large and with a high percentage of losers.... probably near 100%

    In the other city, traders have been around long enough to "figure it out"... they ALWAYS make money until they screw up big time for large loss(s). (The smartest ones NEVER screw up big time for large loss.)

    So... to what question would you like an answer?
     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2020
    #18     Oct 30, 2020
    trader99 likes this.
  9. guru

    guru


    Are they traders who trade daily, or investors who just hold stocks and ETFs like SPY?
     
    #19     Oct 30, 2020
  10. The guy who NEEDS to trade daily is a gambler and should seek help.
     
    #20     Oct 30, 2020