Simplicity in TA

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Xspurt, Feb 12, 2011.

  1. GGB

    GGB

  2. Earlier I had posted when the market was racing up that we would stop and get into a choppy dither that would break down and then be followed by a rally. That is exactly what unfolded. It should be plain sailing now into the New Year but keep in mind this is a December like none I can remember.

    The Eur has the potential to cause shock waves, Israel might decide to do something drastic to Iran and sovereign debt is dancing on a tightrope. All fun stuff!

    Daily we are on resistance and the while the weekly has got the gas to break up it is more likely to cough here on the daily and then go for it. December usually falters a bit before running.

    Note the easy reversal signal on the low of the last pull back.
     
    #132     Dec 3, 2011
  3. Do you not take into account the holiday when you note the low volume at the end of the previous week? Regardless of what price did, the volume was going to be low during that period. Curious as to your thoughts.
     
    #133     Dec 3, 2011
  4. GGB

    GGB

    I dont know why your reversal signal was very easy. Not for me!!
    every indexs was short in that time. lower and lower low and I searched support in TA bud for me it was imposible. In that time I predicted every day rallye and only pattern from rtcm=midl day after pullback

    maybe I havnt enough knowledge
    good luck
     
    #134     Dec 3, 2011
  5. Your buy signal volume was greater than the prior 20 days!
     
    #135     Dec 3, 2011
  6. Sounds like you need to learn a lot more TA. Without getting into advanced tools, here's some of my more obvious thinking...

    1) I was expecting this drop and reversal as per my earlier notes

    2) so I get a QUALITY pull back lower which tells me to expect a good reversal up

    3) it pulls into the 50% support area of the up wave

    4) I get a small body on low volume

    5) followed by a potent Engulfer that swallows the prior two candles

    6) and breaks the down trend line

    7) on big volume

    8) and gives a star candle signal

    9) when I am expecting the weekly to re-gas and take us up as per my previous notes

    10) and combining all of these makes it a bit of a screamer signal long
     
    #136     Dec 3, 2011
  7. GGB

    GGB

    Thanks
     
    #137     Dec 3, 2011
  8. ;)
     
    #138     Dec 4, 2011
  9. ammo

    ammo

    on multiple time frames,here's a yearly that gave you bottoms in 02 and 03 and tops in 09 and10 ,its also building a massive hns
     
    #139     Dec 4, 2011
  10. ammo

    ammo

    reduced to a monthly you can see the right shoulder has already turned
     
    #140     Dec 4, 2011