Simple system - example

Discussion in 'Trading' started by lukas, Dec 8, 2018.

  1. MrMuppet

    MrMuppet


    You are just betting on autocorrelation. If your market features autocorrelation, system works. If it doesn't, system won't work.

    Market only moves randomly when you don't know what you're doing
     
    #11     Dec 9, 2018
  2. schweiz

    schweiz

    This means that you need more than 67% of winning trade sto stay out of losses. And then I don't even count slippage and commissions in. And then you still make no profit.
     
    #12     Dec 9, 2018
  3. d08

    d08

    Approach it from a different angle. If it was that easy and this is doable on any time-frame, why would anyone bother with anything else? They'd just diversify this strategy across markets and become billionaires.
     
    #13     Dec 9, 2018
    birdman likes this.
  4. They

    They

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy
     
    #14     Dec 9, 2018
    Simples likes this.
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    An interesting chart. It would be cool to see this chart based on frequency vs number-of-tick daily change, and see if they are close to the above.
     
    #15     Dec 9, 2018
  6. Peter8519

    Peter8519

    Sorry, I do not have intraday data. It's not a difficult process. I do it in Excel and use the FREQUENCY function.
     
    #16     Dec 9, 2018
  7. JackRab

    JackRab

    It's kinda like a martingale strategy... and there are multiple issues with that.

    - fees
    - long losing streak
    - missing SL, but always hitting the profit target
     
    #17     Dec 9, 2018
    Overnight likes this.