Should US open economy sooner in May or wait more.

Discussion in 'Economics' started by 1957may10, Apr 21, 2020.

  1. accepted ;)
     
    #661     May 29, 2020
  2. wrbtrader

    wrbtrader

    Wisconsin has a higher elderly population, retirement population than its border states.

    It will be interesting to see in a few weeks the impact of people from those other states...crossing state lines to use the open services of Wisconsin.

    Also, note that there's 6 - 9 different Indigenous American tribes in Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota and about 3 different Indigenous American tribes in Illinois...border states.

    They didn't have any representation in the vote count to re-open Wisconsin...if there's any outbreaks...they'll most likely be hit the hardest considering many live in rural areas that have hospital systems very vulnerable to any Covid-19 outbreaks.

    In fact, Indigenous communities (reservations) in some U.S. and Canadian provinces have been road blocking outside visitors unless the outsiders are "essential workers" to prevent the possibility of an outbreak.

    Unfortunately, the Navajo Nation reservation in New Mexico, Arizona and Utah is hit the hardest. They road block too late and now they have the highest infection rate of all the U.S. states.

    https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coron...-covid-19-infection-rate-in-the-u-s-1.4944145

    A spike in pneumonia at this time of the year in Florida is statistically unusual.

    Health officials already looking at the possibility that the pneumonia was caused by Covid-19 which just happens to be a serious side effect of Covid-19 especially those put on life-support.

    Pneumonia is a sneaky illness...it can be caused by bacteria, viral, fungi and even air pollution particles although the most common is bacteria. Yeah, many strains of Pneumonia has a vaccine that most people don't know about while most know there's a vaccine for seasonal Flu.

    Simply, the next time you get your Flu shot...get a Pneumonia shot too (usually a two part vaccination). Pneumonia is the leading cause of death in children and elderly...80% of the deaths from Pneumonia are in children under the age of five years old.

    +2.56 million people died from Pneumonia in 2017

    +2.57 million people died from Pneumonia in 2016 (I was almost one of those statistics in 2016)

    Overall since 1990...the trend has been down on the other side of the bell curve but millions still die every year. :mad:

    wrbtrader
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2020
    #662     May 29, 2020
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  3. Florida. covid19 deaths 2364 exposed 53285 population 21.48 m
    Maryland covid19 deaths 2428 exposed 49709 population 6m
    2364/ 53285 = 0.0444
    2428/ 49709 = 0.0488
    As you see percentage of death is similar to the same number of exposed people.
    Means Florida is correlating with other states data.
    If you have a separate statistic for pneumonia for Florida per years please provide to see spikes.
     
    #663     May 29, 2020
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  4. CDC website has the pneumonia death stats for Florida.

    Deaths due to pneumonia averaged around 5,500 for past five years. This year it is shown as 6800 or so. Something is amiss. I think it is called DeSantis.
     
    #664     May 29, 2020
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  5. Data comes from CDC, hospitals, I will take he can not control it.
    3664/54585 = 0.0671 Florida +1300 above ave level.
    5372 / 56014 = 0.096 Michigan well above ave level.
    102826/1759568 = 0.058 US.
     
    #665     May 29, 2020
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  6. Yes, the 1300 deaths in Florida is what DeSantis achieved by undercounting.

    I know from county officials and healthcare folks that Texas is doing the same thing. Numbers are likely to reflect in a week or two.
     
    #666     May 29, 2020
  7. How does it possible? Did he give an instruction how to count directly to hospitals, to health bureaucrats?
     
    #667     May 29, 2020
  8. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Right re pneumonia is very deadly, a leading cod esp due to dental bacteria etc

    Re coronavirus it's obvious from recent spikes in dumbass southern states that re-opened early that it's a bad idea.

    Or high Brazilian deaths re similar push to re-open early.

    Scientists all say wear masks and not open til 2week declines and nobody does that. Why the fck don't people do what experts all advise?

    Frankly I'm surprised at just how stupid and stubborn people are. Will it take another 100,000 dead bodies before ignorant fools realize how deadly this really is?

    Spanish flu redux, millions worldwide will die within a year. Seriously why won't dumbasses even wear masks like in smart Asia countries? Or social distance?

    This is Darwin's example in action
     
    #668     May 29, 2020
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  9. In Texas county officials have been asked to stop reporting COVID deaths. In Florida DeSantis has fired health bureaucrats who refused to doctor data.
     
    #669     May 29, 2020
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  10. High Brazilian deaths 26764 / 438812 = 0.061 26764 / 209500000 (population) = 0.00013
    France 28662 / 186238 = 0.154 28662 / 66990000 = 0.00043 social distancing.
    Brazil population average age 33 e.o. It shows by death rate low above and should be OK.
    French population 41, Sweden 41. US is 38 should be OK.
    Need to use PPE but economy should be open. Clueless folks are responsible for they self.
    But if they are around 40 e.o they should be fine. CDC death rate is .04 Covid, 0.01 flu.
    You and me, we will survive. Few more weeks to stay US closed and no point of return.
    I guess, you realize this, more trillions to print?
     
    #670     May 29, 2020
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