You understand 3 week lag, so if that is the start you can guess pretty well where it'll be in 3 weeks pretty soon. Nasty little virus, without becoming a hermit, we've all got to have it.
Texax, data just a spike thus far, and bad reporting ignore, it'll take 3 weeks from the release of the lockdown before anything will get to the tested stage give or take a day or 2. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/texas/ Damn snowflakes over reacting!!
Georgia opened 4/24 and do not have spikes so far. 200 difference may cause for lot of different reasons. Need to take precautions and figure it out.
That's just over the 3 weeks, sadly only previous day on Worldometer, very early on the lockdown and the unlock I'd guess, so GA is going to increase while it spreads to all. 0.01%, 1000 people per million expected, this is not over till it gets near that level sadly. WHO saying 3.8% still, which would be 38,000 per million, just be happy there brainless muppets.
I think that far from everything depends on the population. At least, do not forget that in China the population is 1.5 billion, and according to official data, a little over 80 thousand are ill.
Small compact country with a few million population could get covid19 over for 4 weeks. These two factors are important, besides other factors.