While the effect of the Lockdown still in effect. LOL Texas is on 47 per Million, until it gets to 1000 per Mil maybe 2000 per Mil, without a vaccine, doesn't matter what you do, it'll keep burning. NYC is on 1456 per Mil, worst hit area % wise. If you kill it at 47, you'll get a 2nd spike!1
In the end there will be an impact. Whether the trade off is worth it is the question. People sacrifice their lives for national security. Why not sacrifice lives for financial stability?. Unlike the financial crisis, the rich are relatively unaffected, so my guess is that we will end up having a lot of avoidable deaths, but DJI will get to an all time high in a few weeks.
Lives are being sacrificed to save the few that this would save aswell, although it's not really saving them it's just delaying there deaths slightly cause if C19 will kill them this week, 1 week later likely to have the same result. And we are all going to get it, once it reaches this level of wild.
What will be interesting to me is to see how the Terrorists of Trumpistan reacts to this development https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-...9-is-spreading-into-even-more-trump-counties/ Am sure they will find a way to blame "snowflakes"
TX before opening 5/1 1142; 5/2 1239. After opening now: 5/14 1465; 5/15 1380; 5/16 1587. Yes I see some increase, but we should look for week or two in progress to make some judgement. It’s to early. Let’s wait.
It will be too late to do anything after it is spread. UT Southwestern is a well respected non partisan institution. They are giving a warning NOT to do what Abbot is doing. If rural Texans lose people Cornyn is toast in Nov even if he runs against a sack of potatoes. Interesting times. Cornyn is already asking Texans to sign up for Obamacare!!! https://thehill.com/homenews/senate...-health-care-should-sign-up-for-obamacare?amp
It’s to early to make conclusions. It market spikes up, it is still early to say it will go up. Wait, don’t make any speculation. I’m math statistic person, it’s early. I wii be lookin on it. Promise will show how it is.
If we looking statistical data spikes up and down will be eliminated to propagate the trend. That how it works. So far I see only spike.
You are correct, but once we have enough data to confirm, it becomes too late. Hence forecasting models rather than confirming analysis. I get your point about jumping to conclusions from inconclusive data, but better to be safe than sorry in this case, as the potential cost of a reversal to lockdown will be far higher than the cost of gradual opening. Given the delay in start of virus in Texas I am not able to reason why Texas is opening before CA or WA, other than it being political