As far as the full moon is concerned, there is some research that suggests that 5days after the New Moon produce the highest return. In the latest cycle those five days took place last week. http://www.cxoadvisory.com/blog/internal/blog11-06-08/
play the fire. I shorted QID at 39.5, then added at 35, it gave me great profits. I bought qqqq at 29, then 32, then 35, nice return. hope, wish, .... the main thing in a trade is the direction, are you in the right direction? look at the chart, you know you are in the wrong direction. never use " it is too high " for shorting reason. cover it before you are crushed, that is my suggestion.
When you first think "it is too high", that's great long signal. When it goes from "too high" to so much higher that you actually become afraid to short it, that's the perfect short entry.
nobody knows ? the idiot here is you, not nobody. if you do not know what you should do, you should not in the market, otherwise you are a gambler!
dow down 100point is called heading south, that is a laugh. the market will rally toward 10000 easily this JUnE/JULY. buy as much as you can when it dips.
After doing your due diligence, making an educated guess, then placing your bets, there's nothing wrong with HOPING things go your way.