War in middle east should stop on or before day six of this war (we are in day 4 today). One day is left for it to finish. The reason is that this war is to establish deterrence. It cannot pass day six, as otherwise the old "six days war" will be viewed as a defeat, or Gaza palestinian (a small fraction of palestinians) will declare that they have done what all arab armies combined have not done in the past. Israel must be feeling the heat of this deadline. It is likely they will ask friends to pass a UN resolution asking them to stop, or to insist that they stop it, so they can declare victory before day six. Therefore an end to fighting will appear out of nowhere, and oil should go back to the lows. I plan to play oil short. What do you think of this trade and the reasoning behind it. I am looking to capitalize on my reading of what people would do in their best interests.