Shorting DWA for a Madagascar Failure Memorial Day Weekend

Discussion in 'Trading' started by fxpeculator, May 21, 2005.

How are you playing the DWA Madagascar release

  1. I am long, I have married and fallen in love with DWA

    1 vote(s)
    33.3%
  2. I am short, looking at all the facts, the better risk reward here is on the short side

    1 vote(s)
    33.3%
  3. I am Long, I don't love DWA but I think the movie will exceed expecations

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. This is not my style of trading, I just don't have the courage or b**** to put on a short here into

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. I am researching this trade, I am digging deeper to see how and if I will play it

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. This is pure gambling, not trading, go to a Casino

    1 vote(s)
    33.3%
  1. Anyone else shorting DWA into the release of MAD on the 29th?


    Here is why I have called a short here:


    (1) Shark Tale was a disappointment

    (2) Retailers are sending Shrek 2 DVD's back to DWA in mass as kids don't have an appetite for them that was consistent with expectations

    (3) They missed earnings

    (4) They have a hit and miss business model

    (5) Execs wants to cash out ASAP with no confidence in the stock

    (6) Trailor for MAD leaves a lot to be desired

    (7) The Longest Yard with Adam Sandler, Chris Rock, and Nelly
    and Star Wars 3 will be taking at least half the Memorial Day Pie. leaving a couple slices for MAD and DWA longs.

    (8) The adult /kid hybrid animation model is getting old and out of flavor

    (9) A smart trader will follow the trend and allow DWA to prove the downside trend and negative news wrong

    (10) Only 4% of the float is short leaving little room for funds to gun at shorts (squeeze)