I know, right? 40-50k deaths annually in US, 500k globally from every flu. Why are we freaking out over this? Something else is up. I'll say it again - This version of the Coronavirus is fear porn.
This story came out BEFORE the Covid-19 scare... https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct...ia-2019-2020&usg=AOvVaw2fovvHFDuCt7Scedgfwl8C
Plenty of opportunities in both directions. TSX in particular had plenty of long opportunities short term off the floor ( old floor from years ago was 11600-11900 went to 11200 for a day on Monday ).You can play the range short term in Canada. I really like Canadian mining sector long here. BMO in $60 area and TD in $50 area are long term bargains also very tradeable in recent weeks ( huge predictable daily swings ). Tuesday was my most lucrative win day in years, made back every dollar I lost ytd in two days. Meanwhile I've been coaching a family member who is cash rich how to do extremely well buying quality stocks and special opps like shorting US indexes or buying gold miners. Mixed strategies are most appropriate now. Also important to decide what you want to hold long term and start building those positions on the bad dips. Canadian markets sold off far more then most markets even though we have relatively less virus exposure and risks. Further, an already smashed energy sector and how gold miners usually do in a crisis makes the TSX very interesting, similar to 2009 in nature. Canadians in general are less risk tolerant and overreacted swiftly to the crisis on the stock market. Note I posted my bottom calls on the TSX, BMO, and TD. Two of them broke those calls for a day but rebounded hard the next morning. I believe in these levels long term as a floor to reference, and that the 11200 level on the TSX and $56 price on BMO was unsustainable overkill. Guess we'll find out I'm not concerned on the Canadian side on risk maximum damage already occurred to most stock prices imo. US is far less certain. In terms of what people want to believe on here it doesn't matter to me, I've been focused on all the opportunities and making good solid decisions that will pay off long term. I posted the calls to ensure people are clear what my framework is now; I have no clue what US markets will do short term at all.
gold is always the refuge asset. smart people have sold their indexes long time ago and will buy gold now or soon. gold value can't depreciate. At worst it will stay the same i think (not a financial advice)
that is not what i have observed something may have value but if not enough people have money-liquidity- to buy it, then that too will fall. there is no money.
Yeah. Gold is not a convenient asset. If you invest indirectly, you have to have money to spare while that sits, hedging. If you hold gold bars, that will lack even more convenience. It's not like you'll pay for groceries in gold. In short, only a small amount of people could afford to do that because most need cash on hand, inflation be damned. If only a small few can do it, then like @padutrader says, it will be shunned and the value will drop.
The reality on the ground says SELL. The only reason is the "don't panic" crowd. But sometimes panic is the correct action. Who says it is always wrong to panic? Sometimes you panic and it kept you safe while the fire burns down the theatre.
What profits? Your call was to "short everything" on the 26th when SPY was 250 & now you "end this short call" at 260?