I am taking this opportunity to reproduce the excellent June 2003 piece on trading psychology by Gail Osten on sfomag.com. Ari Kiev, Ruth Barrons Roosevelt, Brett Steenbarger and Adrienne Laris Toghraie participated in the round table discussion... for those of you who are into the psychology of trading, these are all names that you should already aware of... GO (Gail Osten, SFO Editor): First, thanks to each of you for participating in this roundtable. Each in your own way has something to offer the trader from a psychological point of view. Iâm interested to see how your responses may shed light from different angles. To start off, what would you say sets trading apart from any other profession? AT (Adrienne Toghraie): When most traders first come into trading, they truly do not handle trading as a profession. In other professions, people endure long, arduous educations for making decisions that become embedded for an automatic response for their neurology to handle. Without this training, trading sessions in the beginning are not only an intellectual choice, but an emotional choice. When dealing with losses, a trader goes into the psychological place where he stores all losses. Since human beings avoid losses, a trader who does not operate out of an automatic response will make an emotional choice. Emotional trading builds negative anchors that keep a trader from following good money-making strategies. GO: Itâs been my experience that a lot of traders do indeed seem to jump in without any experience or education at all â particularly after a bull market where they have profited quite well from investments. It makes them feel like theyâre already experts. Any other ideas? AK (Ari Kiev): One thing that differentiates trading from other activities is that youâre constantly being measured. A long-term investor buys stock, holds for a year or two and rides out the fluctuations. A trader whoâs taking advantage of short-term moves is very much influenced by the intra-day volatility and, so, he is measuring performance daily. A traderâs performance is constantly judged, recorded and measured. There arenât too many other activities out there where your performance is measured so closely. In a regular business you can say, âWeâll get our figures quarterly, and weâll make projections and plans based on how things have been going.â So in regular business, youâre protected from the scorecard âtil the end of the game or âtil the end of the quarter. RR (Ruth Barrons Roosevelt): Itâs also different from a regular business because politics donât help. You canât charm your way through the markets. Maybe you can persuade people to do things, but your personal magnetism alone will not draw winning trades to you. Second, the everyday things are different. With trading, the future is completely unknown. Itâs not like walking into an office every day with a routine. In a day of trading, many more surprises will pop up than in a day in a cubicle. Thatâs not to say that there arenât similarities though. I would say that there are at least two similarities between trading and other types of professions. One is that risk taking is rewarded, but it needs to be managed risk. Second is that optimism is rewarded. BS (Brett Steenbarger): Youâre right. There are definitely similarities. In fact, my focus has been on looking at the similarities rather than the differences, trying to identify fields that are similar to trading in several different respects, where they have a high case of activity, a high degree of risk and reward and a high-performance demand. And, so, my search for similar fields has led me to professional sports and elite military services like the special forces. I have been trying to see how they are similar to trading and how people are trained in those fields as a way of getting some insight into how people might be trained to become effective traders. GO: Interesting. As long as weâre on the topic of similarities, what professions does everyone else think are similar to trading? AT: A surgeon, a trial lawyer, an athlete, concert performer or any kind of person that performs and has to do it live. GO: Because of the necessity for spontaneity? AT: Right, because you have to be continuously on alert. You have to be conscious, while at the same time perform somewhat intuitively. So, you have to be able to go with the flow of your education. You have to be able to go with the flow of whatâs coming next, even if youâre not sure of whatâs coming next. GO: Well you certainly donât know whatâs coming next in trading. What do you think, Ari?
AK: I agree with Adrienne. Sports, surgeryâ¦really, any job where youâve got a limited amount of time to do something which is very complicated. If youâre a surgeon, for instance, you may be in control of some of the variables, but when you have an elderly patient that has had some systems break down, and you have a limited amount of time to get the procedure done, you canât always predict how the patient is going to respond. GO: And itâs very life or death, probably more stressful than trading. RR: Actually, speaking of life and death...the insurance policies of floor traders, in terms of their health insurance etc., pay premiums just as high as skydivers, deep-sea divers and all the most dangerous professions. GO: The people that are on the trading floor, really? RR: Yes. So in terms of stress, itâs probably as high as any other. In other professions, while you could lose your job, youâre not going to lose all your money in a given moment. So stress is higher in that sense. GO: OK. Are there any positive things regarding the kind of profession that trading is? RR: Oh, itâs exciting. Itâs different every day. It can be infinitely rewarding. And itâs so interesting, and every day is a whole new array of events. Because thereâs no limit to how much you can make with it, itâs very, very rewarding. Every day is like Christmas! Youâve got these packages under the tree, and you donât know whatâs in there, but you know it could be something wonderful. GO: Thatâs a unique comparison. Iâve never thought of trading as being like Christmas. On that positive note, letâs move on. So, weâve established that trading is a high-stress, high-performance field, but people in other professions experience stress too. Do traders need specialized psychological advice? Couldnât they go to a regular therapist? AT: Usually, they can go to a regular therapist, but most therapists are trained to deal with issues over an extended period of time. Traders donât have that time. They need instant transformation. If the issues are handled over a long period of time, they might not have the money to continue the profession when they finally have the transformation necessary to follow the rules. In addition, most traders would be diagnosed as gamblers and treated as such by therapists. The truth is that to be exceptional at anything you must be obsessive-compulsive. The difference between someone who is a gambler in trading and a professional trader is that a trader is obsessive-compulsive about following rules. RR: Youâre exactly right, and a regular therapist may or may not understand what is involved with trading and could offer the worst ideas. Adding to that, though, I would say a lot of it also depends on the values of the therapist. For example, I was telling a colleague of mine that I had a client who was making $5,000 a day on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and that he wanted to make $10,000. She replied, âWell, thatâs just disgusting.â And I looked at her and said, âWell, thatâs why I work with these people, and you donât.â He made up his mind to make $10,000. I believe that itâs not wrong that if I make money, somebody else will lose. Itâs our obligation to be successful. So you could run into a difference in values of the person. GO: Brett, youâre a psychologist, do traders need specialized psychological advice?
BS: Some do. The key here is making a distinction between traders who have pre-existing emotional problems that are seeping into their trading versus traders who are really trading poorly, and thatâs creating their emotional problems. GO: These are clearly two different scenarios. BS: Itâs two different scenarios, and you really have to separate them. There certainly are people who have emotional problems. They may have relationship problems, and the fallout from those interferes with their processing of market information and making decisions in the market. And, yes, a general, competent therapist would be helpful in such a case because the primary problem is an emotional or a relationship problem. But if you have someone whoâs under-capitalized and not managing risk properly, then talking to the best therapist in the world will not change their outcome. Instead, they really need very specialized advice from someone who is a competent trader as well as someone whoâs capable of providing therapy. AK: I donât think that being a good traderâs coach entails being a good trader yourself necessarily. All thatâs really needed, I think, is somebody who understands the market, the impact of the market and the suggestibility of people in certain situations. For example, I talked to a client this morning who was running about a billion dollars, and he said, âThese things have been tough lately because there are so many hedge funds, and trades are getting crowded.â So all these hedge funds are out there shorting stocks and covering their shorts while heâs trading them. Heâs trading against them, hanging in there and not getting taken out, but at the same time he was getting uncomfortable and wanted my guidance. To an extent I understand him, and to the extent that he truly believes his methodology, I could guide him to stay in his shorts by using a contrarian signal â to just stay with it and that in the long run, heâd be rewarded. Iâd have to have been here a few times to feel confident about making that recommendation. GO: I suppose itâs really a matter of the traderâs preference whether or not his coach or therapist is a trader himself. Moving onâ¦many articles and books focus on the discipline trading requires, but donât you need discipline and training in other professions as much as you do trading? Is there a difference? RR: You need discipline in all areas of your life. Discipline is doing what needs to be done to get you to where you want to go. Whether you want to or not, whether you feel like it or not. You need discipline to exercise. You need discipline to get up in the morning. You need discipline to go to bed at night. You need discipline to go to work every day. It takes discipline in life to succeed. GO: Is there more discipline thatâs necessary as a trader? RR: Well, if you donât have enough discipline, youâll slip much faster. Itâll take longer in an ordinary job for a lack of discipline to show up. It could happen in a day if youâre a trader. AK: I would add to that, that trading successfully, trading to win, trading in the zone, mastering the markets â all those kinds of things â require the ability to act counter-intuitively, which means when youâre losing, the natural inclination is to hold on, to go into denial, to hope that things turn aroundâ¦you stay attached to your original analysis because you believe it. Now, sometimes you want to stay in a losing position if youâve done the work and itâs an opportunity to really multiply the potential for profit, but the natural inclination for most people is to hold on to losers. GO: So, in other words, it does require a lot of discipline. AK: You have to practice, practice, practice, until you get comfortable doing the uncomfortable, like letting go of losing trades. GO: Not being able to let go of losers seems to be a very common weakness among traders. How can traders assess their own work? How can they identify their strengths and weaknesses, such as not being able to let go of losers? BS: Well, one of the things I believe to be extremely helpful in that regard is that at the end of the year, I do an audit of each and every one of my trades.
GO: On each and every trade? BS: On each and every trade, and I do hundreds in a year. I literally write out each trade by hand and when I placed it and how many shares, contracts, whatever, and whether I was long or short and what my profit or loss was, trades that made the most and least money. I see what I was doing right and wrong and formulate one or two big goals. For instance, this past year, a relative handful of my trades were accounting for the majority of my profits. Fortunately, I was profitable on the year. So, I looked particularly at where those trades were coming from, and they were occasions where I was able to catch the sweet spot of a move where the short-term trend and the more intermediate-term trend were aligned. And I realized I could be trading less frequently and really limiting myself to those good-trending opportunities, and I still could be making just as much money. So, part of my goal this year is to trade more selectively, to be more rule-governed in my trading, based on trend readings. AK: Itâs interesting that you say that because sometimes Iâm able to get people to keep a diary, to keep real track of where they got in, where they got out, what they were feeling at the time they were getting out and then how much further the stock ran, how much did they leave on the table and how much did they give up because they were too anxious. Then they begin to identify those feelings. I have some people, whoâve become good at it, to even time how long their discomfort with certain trades would last. Once they knew how long it lasted, they had a better handle of the situation. Each time, the discomfort doesnât happen as much, and then the next time it happens even less. And then pretty soon, a trader can get comfortable with separating feelings from what the trade is. GO: And thatâs exactly what traders need to be able to do. I think generally having a solid trading plan in place also enables a trader to separate feelings from the trade or avoid giving into emotion, wouldnât you say? AT: Well, I canât speak for everyone else, but, yes, traders need a business plan and part of it is like a regular business plan that you would put together if you were a shop owner, letâs say. Youâd have to have all of the information, the financial information and all of the information that you need for a business. Now, beyond that, a trader needs a methodology spelled out in a set of rules, even if those rules are intuitive. Going beyond that, they need contingency planning â everything that can go wrong and everything that can go right and seeing themselves with the best possible outcome, so that they can prepare themselves for any kind of situation. If you do not prepare for contingencies, youâre like most traders in that once the flow of the markets change, you panic, and you create a lot of losses and negative anchors. This is one of the reasons a trader has to do a periodic review. The periodic review, by the way, is not every time you get huge draw-down trades. A periodic review should be done every three to four months when you can go back and look at your trading. BS: I would say, itâs not the plan, itâs being âplanfulâ that helps a lot. The term Iâve used â and it fits for me better as a trader and as a psychologist â is being rule-governed, that you have certain rules that you follow. Every little wiggle in the futures is not going to throw you for a loop or have you asking questions because you have a rule. The rule tells you when you get in it. The rule tells you when to get out. The rule tells you how much capital youâre going to allocate to the trade. You have all of these rules that make it more automatic. RR: But sometimes they have those things planned out, and they violate the plan. They second-guess the plan in the excitement. Traders have to have confidence in their strategy, confidence that it will most likely work. They have to have confidence in the probability, because probabilities are all that they have, but probabilities ARE enough. Another problem is that a lot of people will have so many indicators to tell them what to do that they get lost, and theyâve got so much stuff on their screen they canât even see the prices. So they canât make decisions. Sometimes the strategies that are the simplest are the wisest. GO: So what should be in every traderâs plan? What would you tell people who came to see you? RR: You need to have a strategy for entering the market and a strategy for exiting with profit and with a loss. And you need to have something that tells you what the trend is, whether itâs up or down or flat. GO: In addition to a plan, having a coach at your side may help take some of the traderâs bias out as well. Having said that, how does a trader/investor determine if she could seek personal coaching, or maybe just when he/she really needs to be her own therapist? RR: Well, first of all, you canât be your own therapist because youâre too subjective. Youâre in the middle of it, and sometimes you need somebody outside yourself to perceive what youâre doing and to help you hold you to your commitments. Itâs just like nobody would go into the Olympics without a coach. They just wouldnât dream of it. You might have a physical coach and a psychological coach. Why shouldnât we, when weâre in the biggest game of all time, have a coach? BS: Well, I think any kind of good coaching or counseling is directed toward helping people become their own therapist. Thatâs my goal in working with everyone, and I tell clients that. I tell them I want you to put me out of business. And so youâre teaching people skills that they can utilize on their own. And typically that takes a certain form, so that youâll first describe the skill to the person. Youâll then model it for them, show them how itâs used. Youâll then have them try the skill out in front of you, so that you can see that they know how to do it, and then youâll assign it as homework and then youâll have them do it on their own. And that way, they learn, they see, they can ask questions and they develop that skill on their own, and they donât need to use you. RR: I would agree with that. As a coach or therapist, youâre not building a traderâs dependence on yourself. Youâre building that person to be strong, to operate without you, but a trader canât necessarily start out being his own therapist. AK: And traders definitely benefit from coaching. I would liken it toâ¦why does an actor need a director? You know the actor knows how to act, but the director helps the actor to transcend his limiting notions about his own identity, about his own ability and so on. A coach can do the same for a trader.
GO: At what point in their trading/investing journey do you typically see traders/investors, personally? What types of situations typically bring them to you? RR: There are several. One would be that theyâve spent years designing a system to trade and now they canât âpull the triggerâ on the system. Thatâs one. Another would be that theyâre losing money over trading or not getting out of losses, and they come to a forced awareness that they need help. Theyâll come to me then. GO: Those are the most typical problems that you see? RR: Yes. Or maybe they work for a bank and theyâll ask the bank to send them to me and they will. GO: Ok. So, you do both individuals and individuals trading for institutions. Interesting. You work with institutional traders as well, Ari. AK: Right. I work with a number of hedge funds, and I work with individuals within these hedge funds. GO: Because youâre there to help them anyway, in the context of the hedge fund, what are the most typical problems that you try to help them through? AK: I think the biggest problem is getting people to size their positions, and I try to do that typically by getting them to set some goals. One is to really develop a methodology where there is a consistent kind of track record of performance. Somebody can have more winning days, but they donât make as much money on their winning days as they do on their losing days, which means theyâre holding on to their losers and not getting out. GO: Thatâs very typical, isnât it? AK: Yes, so I would use these kinds of parameters. How much can you make this year? Given what you know, given that you have some control of sizing, given that you have so much capital, maybe you can make X dollars this year. OK. Say you have Y dollars of capital, so the next thing would be to get them to say, âTo make X dollars a year means to make Z dollars a day. And to make Z dollars a day, how many positions do I need? How big should they be? How long should I hold them? How much work do I have to do to give myself the confidence to be able to buy those kinds of things.â So, managing loss and developing that discipline, building a kind of methodology, finding a group of financial instruments that you really can do the work on. Itâs not just automatic. GO: But to be able to ingrain a skill, to make it automatic, doesnât that take a certain type of personality? Are there certain types of personalities that make better traders than others? Or are there certain personalities that should probably avoid trading altogether? AT: One is the opposite of the other. Entrepreneurial people â and that means self-starters, motivators, risk-takers. People who are not only analytical, but who are creative as well. Most people think that to have the analytical skills is to be a great trader, but I found that to be a really great trader you also have to be creative and synergistically combine the right brain with the left brain. Emotionally self-confident, optimistic, self-disciplinedâthatâs how I would describe a good trader. GO: What about smart? AT: There are different kinds of smart. There is emotional smart. There is street-wise smart. There is wisdom. There is intellectually smart. I find that intellectually smart very often gets in the way of being a great trader. People that are street-smart, wise and intuitive are more likely to be better traders. GO: Are there certain types of personalities that make better traders than others? BS: Absolutely. That was some of the questionnaire research that I was doing a while back with Linda Raschke while we were looking at traits and coping styles. The successful traders were high in a trait called âconscientiousness,â meaning they were very dependable, very reliable. The successful traders had coping styles that were more problem-based. When something went wrong in trading, they would say, âOK, what can I do about this trade?â The traders who were having problems were high in a trait called âneuroticism,â which is a tendency toward negative emotional experiences, like anxiety and depression. And when the unsuccessful traders were having a problem with trading, they would get emotional and theyâd say, âWhatâs wrong with me?â and âNothing ever works.â GO: So there are certain personalities that probably should avoid trading altogether? BS: I think so. No one ever wants to hear that, of course. RR: I donât think so. If they want to trade, weâve got to find a way for them. They come to me to find a way, and so Iâll find a way, with their personality, to do it. But basically, good traders are optimistic. They are optimists who can apply discipline on top of their optimism. Good traders are risk takers. Theyâre people that are comfortable with uncertainty. Theyâre adventurous. Theyâre able to think quickly and make decisions. Act. Theyâre able to act. Theyâre willing to admit when theyâre wrong, and they donât have a fear of being wrong.
GO: Do you ever turn anyone away? RR: No, I donât, because theyâve come to me and said, âHelp me.â Iâve had some really difficult clients, and Iâve been able to get them trading. GO: Well, for those people who really want to trade, but need help, how do they find a good coach or therapist? How would you define a traderâs coach or therapist? AT: First of all, recommendation is the best. Credibility, evidence of work and accomplishments, speeches, articles, books. Ask for testimonials or ask for people to call. A good coach takes an investment in your life, someone who makes a long-term commitment to you â not just there for you right in the beginning, but at each new level of success. And the good coach makes a trader as independent as possible as soon as possible. Thatâs really important. In a typical psychology class, youâre really taught to keep a client coming. A coach gets the best results when a client trusts and follows the advice the coach gives, so it canât only be a one-way street. There has to be a bond between the coach and the trader to get the best results. BS: A good coach or therapist is part expert, part teacher. I think if you donât have experience and expertise in the skill domain, youâre going to be limited in what you impart. I donât think a person could be a good basketball coach if they had never played basketball. That being said, just knowing a lot about something or having done it oneself doesnât necessarily mean youâll be effective in imparting it to others. In fact just recently, there were all of the problems with Michael Jordan and the Washington Wizards; he is no longer with the team because they felt that he wasnât effective in imparting his abilities to others. Heâs clearly one of the greatest ever to play the game and, yet, he didnât seem to be able to mentor all of the young ones to reach his level. You have to have both. AK: I think a good tradersâ coach is somebody that understands the trading process, that understands the challenge, the dilemma that traders face as regards the realm of uncertainty in a disciplined wayâ¦the balance between the willingness to take risk against the need to preserve capital. That creates a certain amount of inner tension and frustration, and you have to be able to deal with that. You need somebody thatâs interested in working with people who are in a game that lends itself to high performance. Not everybody likes to do that because youâre talking to people who areâif theyâre successfulâable to do things that are beyond what most âordinary mortalsâ could do. So, these guys are, as a result of their willingness to play in the game, like sports stars. You have to be able to work with them and help them and not put a value judgment on their lifestyle or the fact that theyâre making such an inordinate amount of money. And yet, do it without feeling envy or jealousy, which isnât necessarily the easiest thing. GO: Iâd like to switch gears here. There are probably more investors than traders, so I want to address the investors out there with this question. What do you do differently for traders and investors? Is there a difference? BS: I think itâs a completely different thing. Theyâre not even related in my book psychologically because in investing you are making longer-term decisions and itâs a very conscious, deliberate, analytical process. In trading, very, very often, youâre making short-term decisions in very active markets, and youâre relying on skills that you have honed over time and that youâre executing relatively automatically. The shorter the time frame of your holding a position, the more automatic your skills have to be. You donât have time to engage in elaborate analyses. RR: Yes, but it shouldnât be too much different, itâs just a different time frame. Thatâs where people in the stock market got robbed. If they had had more of a trading mentality, they would have gotten out or gone short. But they didnât. So we really donât want to think of investment as just staying put. With any good investment, you have to see if itâs still a good investment. You need to reassess it. Investing is just a slower-term trading, and I think if you look at it that way, and reassess all the time, you would be much better. AT: Psychologically, a trader and investor go through the same process, but those who make quicker decisions are more likely to have more emotional issues to deal with. For both, I start out with an assessment. GO: In other words, we have some very different ideas out there about what it means to be an investor and a trader. Itâs definitely something to consider for anyone who is seeking a trading/investing coach. This is always something I love to ask because I think it is exceedingly helpful for traders â if there were three pieces of advice you could offer the new trader, what would they be? AT: First, to have a good education in trading. And while thereâs a lot of stuff out there, thereâs a lot of people teaching and everything, you really need to self-educate. Just read, read, read, read and read. And then have a plan, a business plan which includes rules for entering and exiting a trade. And follow those rules, and if you canât follow those rules, then hire a coach.
GO: OK. Ruth? RR: Find out what works. Verify that it works. Do it. GO: Those three things. RR: Itâs pretty simple. GO: Brett? BS: First of all, if your goal is to become proficient, that takes, like in any field, a number of years of concentrated practice. In trading, start with a very small account and very small positions, so that you can survive your learning curve. And, then, as you gain success, as you gain experience, you can always add to your size. The second thing is that, if a newcomerâs going to be a full-time, very active trader, he must be adequately capitalized. If heâs under-capitalized, heâs subjecting himself to very high potential draw downs. So when a trader is under-capitalized, he goes through more emotional swings because the draw downs are affecting a greater percentage of his total equity. So, being well capitalized is also a psychological strategy. GO: I donât think most people would have considered being well-capitalized as a good psychological approach to trading. And your third piece of advice? BS: My number three piece of advice: Find a mentor. Find someone who you can emulate and learn from that person. That was certainly true when I learned how to do therapy. I could pick up things from their style and synthesize those into my own style. And I think itâs the same with traders. GO: Ari? AK: First, keep your losses down. Be willing to face the facts, tell the truth, admit to being wrong, and get out to preserve your capital. Donât get attached to your ideas to the point that you are losing money. Second, as you build up a cushion, begin to size your positions commensurate with your level of conviction in your ideas and consistent with your profit targets. This is tougher than it appears, and most people tend to be too conservative and cautious and miss opportunities. Be willing to be guided by your objectives and do the work necessary to justify your conviction. Third, review what you have done, be flexible, keep course correcting and improving your performance and adjusting to the new and changing demands of the marketplace. Successful trading requires attention and intention and commitment. GO: Brett, there is one other thing that you said to me that Iâd like to add as refers to how trading, or working on it, can be of benefit generally. One more time, because I think itâs a good way to end this piece. BS: When done properly, I think that working on trading is a way of working on yourself. As you work on the trading, it forces you to deal with pressure in certain ways, and it improves you as a person. And as you improve yourself as a person, and work on your ability to handle risk and work on those analytical abilities, it helps the trading as well. So, in the best of all worlds, you get a certain synergy going, your trading is improving and youâre improving. That makes it a noble pursuit. GO: Excellent comments from you all today. Thanks again for your insights.
Excellent post candleman. The pschological aspect of trading is what I have been working on most for myself. It's really a 'zen' thing. That's why I chose my trade name. Linda Raschke is my personal hero for that reason. She is the most disciplined trader I have met. She Just Does It, over and over and over again. Discipline. Zen. Different words for the same thing.
I gave full credit to Gail Osten and SFOMag.com... the text is in fact available for free with a free sign up to SFOmag.com... Hopefully, my post will encourage more people to sign up for free to the excellent SFOMag.com...