Sergio's Trading Strategies & Market Predictions

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Sergio123, Aug 10, 2023.

  1. destriero

    destriero


    A legit question. I am not trolling. I am trying to understand what you're contemplating here.
     
    #11     Aug 11, 2023
  2. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Let's make the Call side 8/25 - 1845/1940 and Put side 8/31 - 1850/1860.

    Look at that. It's beautiful. Nails it right at 1843.
    RUT spread.PNG
     
    #12     Aug 11, 2023
  3. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Bro, If you could predict with 100% certainty then where is the fun in that?

    I am going to take a shot on a new trade... Going long gold miners!
     
    #13     Aug 11, 2023
    murray t turtle likes this.
  4. %%
    Interesting business; those gold miners sometimes also make a fortune off copper ore +other treasures they dig up :caution::caution:
     
    #14     Aug 11, 2023
  5. destriero

    destriero

    I see, you're trading a bear reversal in verts. Yours has 12 handles in ddrift to 913 and you can buy the bear vert a quarter cheaper by going with the 8/25. You're not going to gain anything downside by going out a week.

    I like this better for the same term.

    upload_2023-8-11_13-59-25.png
     
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2023
    #15     Aug 11, 2023
  6. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Use the data to make predictions. The data is showing me that gold miners, healthcare, utilities, and biotechs are coming up next.
     
    #16     Aug 11, 2023
  7. themickey

    themickey

    What about Nat Gas?
     
    #17     Aug 11, 2023
  8. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Its due, but it's a commodity. It has a very messy distribution. It doesn't work like a stock market sector.
     
    #18     Aug 11, 2023
    themickey likes this.
  9. themickey

    themickey

    Can you give a description on what is not messy.
    I would think gold miners were commodity based and messy? No?
     
    #19     Aug 11, 2023
  10. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Gold miners are just stocks which mine and stream. They need some love.

    EEM looks priced to perfection with room for more upside. YTD kurtosis is sitting at 3.
    NASDAQ, ARKK, and Homebuilders are overdone for this year.

    etf distributions.PNG
     
    #20     Aug 12, 2023