Selling Options for passive income by Robert Kiyosaki

Discussion in 'Options' started by andy_p, Nov 11, 2023.

  1. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    There are only so many finite combinations.

    I don't believe in putting all of your eggs in backtesting strategies. I don't think that you will be able to go back and find the exact same set of volatility, interest rate, and liquidity conditions in the market.

    I believe that testing strategies on a simulation of market conditions is far superior to backtesting strategies.
     
    #71     Nov 14, 2023
  2. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    because making up the real world is better than seeing how the real world behaved in the past.

    how do you account for vol-rate correlation in your simulated prices?
     
    #72     Nov 14, 2023
    taowave likes this.
  3. Zwaen

    Zwaen

    I think one can smooth returns somewhat using ldlv. Do you disagree with this? Would be very interested if you do and why
     
    #73     Nov 14, 2023
  4. ironchef

    ironchef

    Good points.
     
    #74     Nov 14, 2023
  5. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Those are 2 independent variables. Just compare the VIX of 2020 to now.
    Surprise hikes may spike Vol. but it doesn't look like telegraphed hikes are.
     
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2023
    #75     Nov 14, 2023
  6. zghorner

    zghorner

    Been there done that. Thanks for the suggestions but for now I'm loving futures and really need to focus on this one thing.

    Besides, Options left a bad taste in my mouth. Reminds me of pain, the pain of being stupid.
     
    #76     Nov 14, 2023
  7. taowave

    taowave

    This is the second post where you mention passive and big/huge income in the same sentence. For some odd reason you leave out "blowup"..

    Selling options + huge returns + passive investing = huge blowouts

     
    #77     Nov 14, 2023
    ironchef likes this.
  8. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    So how do you simulate that?
     
    #78     Nov 14, 2023
    taowave likes this.
  9. taowave

    taowave

    You are splitting hairs..

    Run a a 20 year backtest with minimal to no vol filters and assume worst case scenario.

    Start there..

     
    #79     Nov 14, 2023
  10. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    GARCH is a typical model for volatility and Cox-Ingersoll is the one for interest rates. I change them independently of each other to test the robustness of strategies under different market conditions.
     
    #80     Nov 14, 2023