Selling Calls To Take Advantage of SPY Drop to 82 By 18-Sep

Discussion in 'Journals' started by shortie, May 31, 2009.

Chances SPY Will Drop To 82 By Mid September

  1. Virtually Impossible

    6 vote(s)
    8.0%
  2. Unlikely

    8 vote(s)
    10.7%
  3. Possible

    13 vote(s)
    17.3%
  4. Likely

    25 vote(s)
    33.3%
  5. Sure Thing

    16 vote(s)
    21.3%
  6. Yet Another Fool Ready To Part With His $$

    7 vote(s)
    9.3%
  1. sure, but i am worried about being overexposed to one side when/if option assignment happens.

    is there a way to know or to guess whether my short June 92 Puts will be assigned? SPY closing price 92.04, AH it is trading at 91.86
     
    #71     Jun 19, 2009
  2. gkishot

    gkishot

    Look at the extrinsic value of each leg. If any leg has extrinsic value less than a dime I would close the straddle and replace it with a strike price closer to the market ( or if it's too close to expiration with a further out ) For jul options you have nothing to worry about, but check their extrinsic values regularly.

    Make sure also that you've allocated enough margin for your straddles.
     
    #72     Jun 19, 2009
  3. gkishot

    gkishot

    Big move is coming. Watch out.
     
    #73     Jun 22, 2009
  4. got assigned 200 shrs SPY. it seems the closing price on friday (92.04) determined which puts got exercised. because of the confusing last friday now i have a large position that need to deal with.

    for now the plan is to replace 200 long SPY with -4x short puts. i started this by selling 89 July puts. since the market went against me, now i am waiting for a rebound to get rid of 200 SPY.

    [​IMG]
     
    #74     Jun 22, 2009
  5. no more trades today. EOD update:
    [​IMG]


    ***Update*** added -4x 89 puts ~ 4:14pm to make position ~market neutral. the last dump into the close might have been excessive.
     
    #75     Jun 22, 2009
  6. :cool:
     
    #76     Jun 22, 2009
  7. no trades so far. biting my nails for not closing 200 SPY this morning. got a bit greedy. because i have -4x puts from yesterday AH as a replacement for 200 SPY, a bounce this morning was a perfect opportunity to finish the replacement.

    my plans are:
    1) get rid of 200 SPY to become market neutral
    2) trim positions a bit to reduce exposure

    [​IMG]
     
    #77     Jun 23, 2009
  8. EOD Update (no trades today, will wait for a larger range day):
    [​IMG]
     
    #78     Jun 23, 2009
  9. piezoe

    piezoe

    its going to be a difficult month. Best sell some theta and go to the beach.
     
    #79     Jun 23, 2009
  10. sold 200 SPY in the morning (90.20). Covered -2x 89P for 1.63. Basically, I want to have a slight short bias going into the Fed announcement because i think there is too much complacency in the market.

    realized PL (not shown in the screen shot):
    -390 (200 SPY based on 92.04 assignment price)
    +112 2x 89 July Puts

    Midday update before Fed:
    [​IMG]

    ***edited attachment because another unrelated position on the page affected PL***
     
    #80     Jun 24, 2009