Sector Analysis Using Pure Price Action

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Gringo, Sep 29, 2013.

  1. Gringo

    Gringo

    Apple is another darling going through some rough time. There appears to be a hinge forming and it's resolution might give some indication as to the direction of price. There are a lot of conflicting signals for AAPL. To keep things in perspective the most recent action is the creation of the hinge and that's where I am focusing.

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    Gringo
     
    #31     Oct 8, 2013
  2. game

    game

    Since the hinge is forming within a somewhat weak technical position (The two lower highs in Sept), would your tactics be more aggressive should it break to the downside, versus the upside?
     
    #32     Oct 8, 2013
  3. niko

    niko

    No longer biased to the long side, most last swing lows were taken.

    http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$SPX,XLY,XLK,XLI,XLB,XLE,XLP,XLV,XLU,XLF
     
    #33     Oct 9, 2013
  4. niko

    niko

    Xlu still in the hinge.
     
    #34     Oct 9, 2013
  5. Gringo

    Gringo

    I am not interested in playing individual stocks. Still I keep an eye on them to ensure I am able to handle them if need be. The reason for looking at two big tech stocks was to put them in perspective in relation to XLK.

    In case of AAPL were I playing it I would just follow price out of hinge whichever way it went. Please keep in mind that the retracement for the entire move from 400 to the current point is less than 50% and is still hanging in the upper part. So this all becomes a bit confusing hence focusing on the hinge removes all this doubt and uncertainty. Who knows which side actually will be more dominant when price breaks out? We know how to exit and when to exit using our rules and if that happens AAPL might only move a few points. Again AAPL isn't the best price action to really focus on but it's one of the more famous ones hence its inclusion.

    Gringo
     
    #35     Oct 9, 2013
  6. niko

    niko

    Weekly update:

    A lot of shorts must have been trapped, I just hope most of them are out by now.

    SLs are mostly broken, but still no entries just yet.
     
    #36     Oct 14, 2013
  7. Gringo

    Gringo

    Niko,
    You seem to have learned from the late night discussions about entries :D. There was a moment where you sounded Dbesque.

    Gringo
     
    #37     Oct 14, 2013
  8. niko

    niko

    Yep, this week was illuminating, so to speak. I have learned a lot, thanks for everything.

    Which one of these sectors do you consider to be the one with the greatest potential.
     
    #38     Oct 15, 2013
  9. Gringo

    Gringo

    I've been really busy today so I'll answer if I can squeeze in the time. Otherwise there's almost always a tomorrow.

    Gringo
     
    #39     Oct 15, 2013
  10. niko

    niko

    Ok, my reading is that a RET in XLV, XLE and XLY would offer the most potential being the ones farther away from the top of the channel.

    For now I would avoid XLP (TR) and XLU (Hinge)
     
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    #40     Oct 15, 2013