Scientists propose a 50 days on, 30 days off coronavirus lockdown strategy

Discussion in 'Politics' started by gwb-trading, May 20, 2020.

  1. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The effective reproduction rate (R) with mitigation of TB varies by location. The Rnaught rate of TB with no mitigation is 2. The Rnaught rate of COVID-19 is at least 2. The R rate of COVID-19 in Germany is 0.8 or below currently.

    You are, once again, confusing the raw reproduction rate (Rnaught) with the effective Reproduction rate (R) with mitigation.

    TB is controlled both inside the U.S. and outside the U.S. in places with a higher R rate with lockdowns as needed, individual isolation, contact tracing and testing. It is effective for TB and it is the proper path for COVID-19.
     
    #51     May 21, 2020
  2. jem

    jem

    I am not playing that game.. I am not confusing anything..
    I gave you a link to a study... which stated...

    .
    Quantifying TB transmission: a systematic review of reproduction number and serial interval estimates for tuberculosis

    So fuck off with your nomenclature game.... I am not confusing anything.
    I am doing my best to avoid letting you play your bullshit experts confuse the terminology game.


    you can either come back with links and science in the US. or shut up and admit you just bullshit you ass off instead of linking to science.


     
    Last edited: May 21, 2020
    #52     May 21, 2020
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I have provided the science . Go read it, educate yourself and stop being confused.
     
    #53     May 21, 2020
  4. jem

    jem

    Well today you said Covid is at least 2.
    A few weeks ago you were telling us it was 4.

    so... yeah I read your "science" its bullshit based on doomer bullshit.


     
    #54     May 21, 2020
    smallfil likes this.
  5. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I stated the minimum estimate for COVID-19 was 2. Most estimates have it as 2 to 3. Some papers have it as 4.2 to 6.8.

    The exact final Rnaught number for COVID-19 will not be known until the pandemic runs its first wave course. and studies are completed. Keep in mind that usually the initial Rnaught numbers are revised up after the studies like it was for SARS.
     
    #55     May 21, 2020
  6. jem

    jem

    exactly my point...
    you have been bullshiting your ass off declaring numbers from models as if they are real.
    .


     
    #56     May 21, 2020
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Go read what I stated earlier on this thread again...

    "The Rnaught rate for TB is around 2.0. This is similar for most low-end estimates for COVID-19."
     
    #57     May 21, 2020
  8. jem

    jem

    preserved...


     
    #58     May 21, 2020