Science Advancements on trading

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by alesanti, Jul 17, 2006.

  1. alesanti

    alesanti

    eusdaiki, I agree with your word of caution, but there could be free lunches:

    To ilustrate my point, this prediction, computed today at
    9:30 ET
    [​IMG]
    Is far from perfect. Anyway it generated 2 trades:

    SP500
    Date Type Target Gain Entry Time Exit Time Entry Value Exit Value P&L Cumm. P&L
    07/27/2006 Long 5.64 10:15 11:35 1272.24 1273.25 1.01 1.01
    07/27/2006 Short 6.19 11:35 15:15 1273.25 1264.05 9.20 10.21

    That yield 10.21 points of the S&P500 in the day. In E-Minis terms: 500 dollars per contract, or a max of about 10% in the day.
     
    #71     Jul 27, 2006
  2. Now your model starts at 9:30, instead of 10:45.

    Looks like you don't have a finalised/ finished system yet.


     
    #72     Jul 27, 2006
  3. alesanti

    alesanti

    The model begins computing the predicitons at 9:30, when the market opens, and it does it every 15 mins.
    The trades are computed at 10:15, after the market dust goes down.

    One thing is predict the market, another thing is trade the market.
     
    #73     Jul 27, 2006
  4. "This prediction was computed at 10:45am today."

    "To ilustrate my point, this prediction, computed today at
    9:30 ET"

    "The trades are computed at 10:15, after the market dust goes down."

    9:30 and 10:45 before; then now 10:15. Totally confused. :confused: :confused: :confused:
     
    #74     Jul 27, 2006
  5. Do you have any comments on what would be the main advantages for the above chart/ trade information comparing to other signal services that send mainly Long/ Short signals and timing?

    Perhaps most signal service providers have been doing some similar predictions, except disclosing more details.

    Personally I wouldn't call that any advancement on trading, whether science-based or not.

    More about marketing gimmicks!

    :D
     
    #75     Jul 28, 2006
  6. There´s no such thing as a free lunch, even if it looks free to you, some one else is paying for it.

    Also, everything has a cost of oportunity...









    Believin all the lies that theyre tellin ya
    Buyin all the products that theyre sellin ya
    They say jump and ya say how high
    Ya brain-dead
    Ya gotta fuckin bullet in ya head
     
    #76     Jul 28, 2006
  7. was that not the 100 year old bank that went bust?

    vital statistics
     
    #77     Jul 28, 2006
  8. alesanti, you wouldn't per chance have done some work on turbulence? Just curious...
     
    #78     Jul 28, 2006
  9. why do I get some feeling this is just a shill for promoting a particular product?

    I might be mistaken but that thought keeps coming back to me

    vital statistics
     
    #79     Jul 28, 2006
  10. Let's not leave out our Jack. With his 'SCT' you don't even have to predict anything. :D
     
    #80     Jul 28, 2006