Quite frankly it's not my ability to trade that is in question. The only factor that is of concern is my burn rate. So I'm historically risk adverse(for myself) during these days of increasing systematic risk.
That is all a part of the equation my friend. A robust trader can adapt to periods of weak volatility in a lot ways. In fact if you have worries about volatility shrinking, options would be your game right now, no? Write some options and go get paid.
While I realize that since I only know 4th grade math you may think it inadequate, I must remind you that "the future" is not knowable. You might want to consider that fact in you lil "risk to reward calculation thingy". Perhaps you should read some n taleb, to get my drift.
For now I'll leave options to you 2 geniuses IQ47 and yourself. Every time I study options sounds great in theory,but in application I see too many gotcha's like zero's on the roulette wheel.
My retort.....study fat tails. This is how all traders on this planet make outsized returns. I have already said too much! They are knocking at my door!...........
AK does the option thingy. I tried about 8 years ago. That was when I found you have to be right about direction AND time. I am not that good. All options players get my respect. 100% out of my league.
The men in the white coats? I recommend that they try some electotherapy on you followed by a frontal lobotomy. That should calm you down and break this pattern of lying that you have.