Typically, I want to see RSI 2 period to drop to 0 and the RSI 5 period under 20. Then I put a limit order to buy at 10% lower than the previous day close. What I am doing is looking for extremely overbought and oversold situations. Then my exit is a market order the morning after RSI 5 closes over 70. However if I am supposed to exit in the open and I am planning to be in my office where I can the market closer I will keep riding it up or down and get out when I want to. If price is above the 200 day SMA I only look to go long and if under the 200 day SMA I only look to short.
This looks like a high probability trade and I like the way you do it. I suppose you could make fewer quality trades like this, and buy a higher number of shares, and the profits would look after themselves.
1/10: There have been a few questions in regards to why I trade FAS so early on in the day. These trades tend to be very high risk, but very profitable trades. Being high risk, I don't always get it my way. Though, I am ok with this as I can handle the exits well (except the first one today!), and if it goes in my direction, then the day starts with good profits within 15-30 min. I am, at present, working on seeing how I can extract a small amount of profit, if the trade goes against me. FAS was over traded today (frustrating!). RIMM would have done well, but it seems, that on the day, it didn't play out as expected. Pic. 1: Trade 1: LONG: Entry: $28.62 Exit: $28.50 -$0.12 Trade 2: SHORT: Entry: $28.30 Exit: $28.25 +$0.05 Trade 3: LONG: Entry: $28.66 Exit: $28.73 +$0.07 Trade 4: LONG: Entry: $28.28 Exit: $28.29 +$0.01 Trade 5: LONG: Entry: $28.86 Exit: $28.88 +$0.02 <img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=3057405.png">
Trade 6: LONG: Entry: $60.63 Exit: $60.63 +$0.00 Trade 7: SHORT: Entry: $62.15 Exit: $62.16 -$0.01 <img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=3057410.png"> Total (+/-): -$21.50; [+$27.50-$49.00(commission)] 2011 Net (+/-):+$2280.22
Yep....but I might have 4-5 trades like this at any given time. It seems like I get several all at the same time and I will trade them for several days.
I also see a lot of opportunities like SLV that make their move up before I get my entry. I have to just look the other way and start finding my next trade elsewhere. I will still be watching SLV but if it goes up another day I'll have to wait a while before it will be tradeable again. 2 rules I never budge on: 1. I don't chase a trade 2. Never average losers
These are IB charts? Everyone says IB charts suck, but those dont look bad at all. On trades 4 and 5, did you make money after commission on these .01 and .02 gains?
Oh, Sam, one thing I heard (which seems to be true) is that after 4 legs down or up in a trend.. it has a tendency to chop or try to fight back a bit.. So if you find yourself finding a stock that has already made 3 (especially 4 ) moves already dont jump in at the next opportunity... I am NOT saying it wont continue, but probably wont be a clean continuation as the prior moves were, etc
Nice charts and great journal. If I get a chance I'll take a closer look and see if I can help you get a bit further on, but you are on the right track.
Made a killing and am ready to retire . In dollar terms it ended as $10 & $20 respectively. With FAS I usually am in btwn 500-2000 shares.