Saki's Forex Reversal Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by sakimonohito, Jul 2, 2004.

  1. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114 Limit 1.3280
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640 Limit .6406
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707 Limit .6600
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/USD S 1.8434 Limit 1.8190
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250
     
    #41     Aug 15, 2004
  2. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051* Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640 Limit .6406
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707 Limit .6600
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/USD S 1.8434 Limit 1.8190
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250
     
    #42     Aug 17, 2004
  3. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640 Limit .6406
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754* Limit .6650
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/USD S 1.8434 Limit 1.8190
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250

    *Have 3 reversal signals at this price and time figure. Murrey +2/8th, Daimyo +100, BB upper band pierced again.
    Chart below...
     
    #43     Aug 17, 2004
  4. Didn't realize I was posting my charts with my account numbers:(
     
    #44     Aug 17, 2004
  5. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640 Limit .6406
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754 Limit .6650
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/USD S 1.8434 Limit 1.8190
    GBP/JPY B 200.10 Limit 204
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250
     
    #45     Aug 18, 2004
  6. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640 Limit .6406
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754 Limit .6650
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/JPY B 200.10 Limit 204
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250

    Closed Trades
    GBP/USD S 1.8434 B 1.8233 +201
     
    #46     Aug 18, 2004
  7. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051*, 1.2969 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265, 1.7088* Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640 Limit .6406
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754 Limit .6650
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/JPY B 200.10 Limit 204
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250

    USD/CAD is dangerously close to breaking down from an 8 month base, but as I am not the market, I must trade my system. I will average into 5 positions before considering taking a loss.

    EUR/AUD, my first posted trade which I broke the system rules of. I didn't exit at my target and now I am holding through a nonsystem drawdown(that is, the system would have exited last week for a minor loss of 25-30 pips).
     
    #47     Aug 19, 2004
  8. USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Limit 1.3120
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051, 1.2969 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265, 1.7088 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640, .6744* Limit .6562
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754 Limit .6650
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Limit 1.5440
    GBP/JPY B 200.10 Limit 204
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250
     
    #48     Aug 20, 2004
  9. USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051, 1.2969 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265, 1.7088 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640, .6744 Limit .6562
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754 Limit .6650*
    GBP/JPY B 200.10 Limit 204*


    Closed Trades

    USD/CHF B 1.2500, 1.2401 Sold 1.2635 +135, +234
    EUR/USD S 1.2370 Limit 1.2250 +120
    EUR/CHF B 1.5328 Sold 1.5420 +92

    *I had a minor epiphany about my reversal system over the weekend after mulling over old account statements. I realized that I could trade much less and make about the same if I eliminated shorting the higher yielding currencies and bought them at cycle lows. So I will hold EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY until they reach daily reversal signals rather than 4 hour ones. And I will not be entering trades such as long USD/CAD, short NZD/USD, long EUR/AUD anymore because the overnight interest is slightly cost prohibitive and increases my risk of carrying losing trades overnight.

    For those of you not sure what I am talking about, I receive overnight interest when I am holding a currency which has a higher interest rate than the currency I sold(and vice versa, I am charged interest if I sell the higher yielding currency). For example CAD has a higher interest rate than the USD so if I buy USD/CAD I am charged an overnight interest and this accumulates day after day as I am waiting for a reversal signal. If I simply sold USD/CAD on the last reversal signal I would be sitting on a huge 900 pip profit now in addition to interest accumulated from mid-May(about 5 dollars a night per 100,000k). This kind of return on a single trade illustrates my point clearly. Now compound this by the 9-12 currencies I trade on a 4 hour basis and you will see why trading with the interest rate trend is only one more filter to increase my profitability and MANAGE MY RISK better. Which was the main reason I began posting this thread in the first place! So, I guess, mission accomplished!
     
    #49     Aug 23, 2004
  10. EUR/USD B 1.2176 Limit 1.2400*
    GBP/USD B 1.8124 Limit 1.84*(not a full blown reversal signal--although getting there--this is an old order from last week I forgot to delete, second mistake in 3 months of posted journals!!!)
    USD/CAD B 1.3119, 1.3114, 1.3051, 1.2969 Limit 1.3270
    EUR/AUD B 1.7265, 1.7088 Limit 1.7330
    NZD/USD S .6561, .6640, .6744 Limit .6562
    EUR/GBP S .6690, .6707, .6754 Limit .6650
    GBP/JPY B 200.10 Limit 204
     
    #50     Aug 23, 2004