Saki's Forex Reversal Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by sakimonohito, Jul 2, 2004.

  1. Trailing this one rather than exiting at MML 4/8ths...

    I'm also trailing my EUR/GBP short from 3 months ago.

    Still holding my USD/CHF nightmare, gonna buy some size on the next buy signal and average out on that one.
     
    #131     Dec 20, 2004
  2. 10k GBP/USD B 1.9269 Limit 1.9390+ 121
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1515 Exit 1.1484 +29
    10k GBP/USD B 1.9048 Exit 1.9176 +128
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1623 Limit 1.1474 +149
    10k EUR/USD S 1.3412 Exit 1.3410 +2
    10k USD/JPY B 104.25 Stop 103.90 -35
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1585 Stop 1.1620 -35
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1615 Exit 1.1557 +58
    10k EUR/USD B 1.3207 Exit 1.3285 +78
    10k EUR/USD B 1.3259 Exit 1.3350 +91
    ___________________________________________
    Starting Balance(assume one dollar for each pip):
    2000 USD

    Closed Balance
    2586 USD

    Well, in the end, I should have exited with the upper Bollinger-Fibo. But I was speculating on a blow-off top for the holidays. Probably still will make new highs this week, but it won't be on my profit and loss ledger
    :mad: :mad:
     
    #132     Dec 21, 2004
  3. 10k GBP/EUR S .6935 Limit .6835 Stop .6960

    Daimyo and Bollinger indicate a small reversal and
    8/8th MML is .6958, so this is worth a stab...
     
    #133     Dec 22, 2004
  4. Who is Joe DiNapoli?
     
    #134     Dec 22, 2004
  5. "Joe is a veteran trader with more than 35 years of solid market trading experience. He is also a dogged and thorough researcher, an internationally recognized lecturer and a widely acclaimed author. His foundation in electrical engineering and economics prepared Joe for exhaustive investigations into Displaced Moving Averages and the creation of his proprietary Oscillator Predictor. In particular, his practical and unique method of applying Fibonacci ratios to the price axis makes him one of today's most sought-after experts."

    "Of that which we cannot speak, we must remain silent." Ludwig........
     
    #135     Dec 22, 2004
  6. 10k GBP/USD B 1.9269 Limit 1.9390+ 121
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1515 Exit 1.1484 +29
    10k GBP/USD B 1.9048 Exit 1.9176 +128
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1623 Limit 1.1474 +149
    10k EUR/USD S 1.3412 Exit 1.3410 +2
    10k USD/JPY B 104.25 Stop 103.90 -35
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1585 Stop 1.1620 -35
    10k USD/CHF S 1.1615 Exit 1.1557 +58
    10k EUR/USD B 1.3207 Exit 1.3285 +78
    10k EUR/USD B 1.3259 Exit 1.3350 +91
    10k EUR/GBP S .6935 Stop .6960 -25
    ___________________________________________
    Starting Balance(assume one dollar for each pip):
    2000 USD

    Closed Balance
    2561 USD
     
    #136     Dec 22, 2004
  7. Seems to be a smart guy...
     
    #137     Dec 22, 2004
  8. I finally hit on a trailing stop method to capture the bigger moves while still employing my reversal methodology. It requires I trade at least 20k positions, which is still conservative for my account.

    Starting monday--since I missed this weeks buy signals on GBP/USD-- I will employ a 20k position. The first position shall be exited at the MML 4/8ths or the Daimyo reversal pattern. As soon as the first position is exited, I will trail the stop break even and then I will use the trending outer bollinger to indicate when the trendline has been broken.It requires I enter hedges, but this isn't a problem as my broker allows it.
    This way I don't have to babysit my positions and trail on a closed bar basis. Once the price has been hit, I'm out.

    The logic is so simple, but yet I have missed huge moves this year because I didn't have the vision of the trend in mind. So, now that I've got that sorted. ...

    Happy Holidays everyone, here's to a more profitable and peaceful new year!!!

    I have attached the chart below indicating my new trailing stop method.
     
    #138     Dec 24, 2004
  9. 20K GBP/USD S 1.9335 Limit 1.9042 Stop 1.9415
     
    #139     Dec 27, 2004
  10. 20K GBP/USD S 1.9335 Limit 1.9052 Stop 1.9415

    20k USD/CHF B 1.1360 Limit 1.1460 Stop 1.1280
     
    #140     Dec 27, 2004