We have actually been testing the HOD and LOD breakout this past week. Right now I have it at best 72%. But I am still working on it to see if we can get the R/R a little better and still keep the W/L ratio up there.
Confession. Took it anyway since it met my requirements, though the trade is a lower probability, given that the consolidation is only an hour long. Made a point. Now I really am done.
Bollinger Band Theory Revisited: This is a 15 minute chart of todays action. With a 15 minute chart you will miss the exact tops and bottoms but you will capture the meat and taters of the move. This is a very valid method for reversal traders and it doesn't take a lot of education in trading to perform. I really like the 10 minute chart a little better but this chart is so clean I wanted to show it. Again, practice with this before you use real money. As all trading is easier in hindsight. 4re
I would advise looking at divergences for reversal signals in your case, starting with 1 min charts and going to 15 minute time frames if your hold period is within that time period.