With all the "occupy" stuff gathering momentum, and the high current bearish sentiment, the market can only go up right now. But I think the market will be down significantly in 2012. But from the current S&P 1224.6 level, I see it ending 2011 a bit higher than current levels.
similar thread with 34 votes: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3329171#post3329171
1280-1290 SPX. So the bulls can say: "We had 3-4% gain for the year and that's better than a money market account. In addition, the market is still cheap. Moreover, even though growth looks sluggish and the headwinds of Euro zone financial woes do pose somewhat of a bleak outlook, well, that's already priced into the market".